UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks
Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) vs. UNLV Rebels (3-0)
September 28, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Rebels -1 / Fresno State Bulldogs +1; Over/Under: +49
(Get latest betting odds)
The Fresno State Bulldogs and the UNLV Rebels meet in week 5 college football action from Allegiant Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction.
Fresno State Recap
The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this one looking to build on their three-game win streak after improving to 3-1 on the year with a 38-21 win over New Mexico last time out. After this game, Fresno State will head home for a matchup with Washington State.
Bulldogs Looking To Keep Rolling
Mikey Keene has thrown for 1,040 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 66.7% passing while Malik Sherrod has a team-high 191 rushing yards and 3 rushing TDs while Elijah Gilliam has 145 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Mac Dalena has a team-high 431 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns with a team-high 18 grabs while Jalen Moss has 15 receptions for 243 yards and Raylen Sharpe has 133 receiving yards this season. Tuasivi Nomura has a team-high 38 total tackles while Cam Lockridge has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Fresno State’s defense has 6 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- Fresno State has won each of its last eight games in September.
- UNLV has lost 16 of its last 17 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Fresno State has covered the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games when playing with a rest advantage.
UNLV Recap
The UNLV Rebels come into this one looking to remain unbeaten after improving to 3-0 on the year with a 23-20 win over Kansas last time out prior to their bye week. After this game, UNLV will welcome Syracuse to town.
Rebels Trying To Rule The Roost In Mountain West
Matthew Sluka has thrown for 318 yards, 6 touchdowns and an interception on 43.8% passing while also rushing for a team-high 253 yards. Greg Burrell, Kylin James and Michael Allen have all logged 100+ rushing yards so far this season. Ricky White III leads the Rebels with 10 grabs for 126 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. On defense, Jackson Woodard leads the Rebels with 23 total tackles and 3 sacks while Jalen Catalon has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a team, UNLV has combined for 9 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- UNLV has won each of its last nine September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has lost eight of its last nine September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UNLV has covered the spread in each of its last seven games in September.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction
I’m on the over here. Fresno State’s offense has been on fire during this win streak, and the Rebels haven’t really been anything to write home about defensively. On the other side, UNLV has a lot of pace with this Go-Go offense that they employ, and I think this game could end up being a bit of a track meet. Give me the over here.