Air Force Falcons (1-4) vs. UNLV Runnin Rebels (5-0)
October 11, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Runnin Rebels -7 / Air Force Falcons +7; Over/Under: 64.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Air Force Falcons and the UNLV Rebels meet in week 7 college football action from Allegiant Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Air Force Falcons vs. UNLV Rebels prediction.
Air Force Falcons Recap
The Air Force Falcons come into this game looking to rebound from a 34-31 loss at the hands of Navy in their last game to drop to 1-4 on the year. After this game, the Falcons will head home for a game against Wyoming.
Falcons Drop Fourth In A Row
Liam Szarka has thrown for 850 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 64.6% passing while also rushing for a team-high 448 yards and 6 touchdowns. Dylan Carson has 248 rushing yards and 2 TDs while Cade Harris has 190 rushing yards with 2 TDs. Harris leads the Falcons in receiving with 19 catches for 446 yards and 2 touchdowns while Quin Smith and Bruin Fleischmann each have 200+ receiving yards and 3 touchdowns this season. On defense, Blake Fletcher has a team-high 53 total tackles including 19 solo tackles while Isaac Hubert has a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Air Force’s defense has combined for 9 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.Â
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- UNLV has lost 13 of its last 14 home games in October.
- Air Force has won six of its last seven games against teams from Nevada.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five home games in October.
- Air Force has covered the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog.
UNLV Rebels Recap
The UNLV Rebels come into this game looking to add on to their 31-17 win over Wyoming last time outt o improve to 5-0 this season. After this game, UNLV will head on the road for a game against Boise State.
Rebels Looking To Stay Unbeaten Ahead Of Broncos Clash
Anthony Colandrea has thrown for 1,042 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 69.5% passing while also rushing for 261 yards and a touchdown. Jai’Den Thomas has a team-high 489 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns while Keyvone Lee has 130 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns this season. Jaden Bradley leads UNLV in receiving with 25 grabs for 420 yards and 2 touchdowns while Troy Omeire has 12 catches for 130 yards and a touchdowns. On defense, Marsel McDuffie has a team-high 33 total tackles along with a pair of interceptions while Aamaris BRown has a pair of sacks and a team-high 4 interceptions. As a unit, UNLV’s defense has combined for 7 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- UNLV has won each of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Air Force has lost each of its last four games.
- UNLV has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Air Force’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of UNLV’s last four games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Air Force Falcons vs. UNLV Rebels Prediction
I’m on the over here. This to me just feels like a shootout as Air Force hasn’t been able to stop anything on the defensive side of the ball this season, but their offense is still humming. On the other side, UNLV has a rock solid offense of their own but the defense is struggling and while the defense is decent against the run, stopping the option is tough and this Air Force offense has a great passing aspect to their game now and that’s somewhere you can really exploit this UNLV defense. I expect points so give me the over.
