UNLV vs Boise State Prediction 10-25-24 College Football Picks
Boise State Broncos (5-1) vs. UNLV Rebels (6-1)
October 25, 2024 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Rebels +3.5 / Boise State Broncos -3.5; Over/Under: +66.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boise State Broncos and UNLV Rebels meet Friday in week 9 college football action at Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a UNLV vs Boise State Prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs Boise State Pick.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos beat Utah State and Hawaii, and they play San Diego State, Nevada, and San Jose State next. The Boise State Broncos have won 4 of their last 5 road games. Maddux Madsen is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 1,273 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Cameron Camper and Matt Lauter have combined for 700 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Latrell Caples has 12 receptions.
The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 289.8 yards per contest, and Ashton Jeanty leads the way with 1,248 yards and 17 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 26.2 points and 382 yards per game. Ty Benefield leads the Boise State Broncos with 35 tackles, Ahmed Hassanein has 6.5 sacks and A’Marion McCoy has 7 pass deflections.
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
The UNLV Rebels beat Utah State and Oregon State, and they play Hawaii next. The UNLV Rebels have won 7 of their last 10 home games. Hajj-Malik Williams is completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 838 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Ricky White III and Jacob De Jesus have combined for 907 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Jaden Bradley has 4 receptions.
The UNLV Rebels ground game is averaging 251.4 yards per contest, and Williams leads the way with 390 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, UNLV is allowing 22.6 points and 383.1 yards per game. Jackson Woodard leads the UNLV Rebels with 63 tackles, Antonio Doyle Jr. has 4 sacks and Jalen Catalon has 4 interceptions.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- The favorite has won each of Boise State’s last 13 games.
- UNLV has lost each of its last 12 October games as an underdog.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between Boise State and UNLV.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games in October.
- Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Boise State’s last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of UNLV’s last five games at Allegiant Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- UNLV ranks T2nd among FBS teams for interceptions this season (13).
- UNLV ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.4).
- Boise State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (16.7).
- Boise State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (15.2).
UNLV vs Boise State Prediction
The UNLV Rebels as a home dog is appealing when you consider this is the best team they’ve had in years. The problem is Boise State is physical on both sides of the ball, something UNLV doesn’t see often. Also, Boise State has had extra time to prepare. The Boise State Broncos are 7-2-1 ATS in their alt 10 games as a favorite. UNLV is 126th in pass defense and 88th in total defense, and that’s not great when facing a top-5 scoring offense in Boise State. Give me Boise State by a touchdown.