UNLV vs Boise State Prediction 10/18/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a UNLV vs Boise State Prediction for this College Football Week 8 game on Saturday, October 18^th at the Albertsons Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Boise State Broncos Preview

Boise State has a 4-2-0 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the MWC. They are 4-1-1 ATS, 4-2-0 in Over/Under and have a 3-0-0 home record and a 1-2-0 away record. Boise State is coming off a 41-25 home win against New Mexico and will face Nevada, Fresno State and San Diego State next.

Offensively, Boise State averages 33.7 points per game, ranking 44th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.3 points per game, which is 74th. Boise State averages 465.3 total yards per game (274.5 passing and 190.8 rushing), while allowing 328.8 total yards per game (143.3 rushing and 185.5 passing).

Maddux Madsen leads Boise State with 1,570 passing yards with 61.0% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Dylan Riley leads the team in rushing yards with 494, while Latrell Caples has a team-high 21 receptions for 292 receiving yards. Defensively, Ty Benefield has a team-high 44 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Braxton Fely leads the team in sacks, with 4.5, and A’Marion McCoy has a team-high 2 interceptions.

UNLV Rebels Preview

UNLV has a 6-0-0 record this season and is sitting 1st in the MWC. They are 4-2-0 ATS, 3-3-0 in Over/Under and have a 3-0-0 home record and a 3-0-0 away record. UNLV is coming off a 51-48 home win against Air Force and will face New Mexico, Colorado State and Utah State next.

Offensively, UNLV averages 38.2 points per game, ranking 19th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.7 points per game, which is 110th. UNLV averages 442.3 total yards per game (242.7 passing and 199.7 rushing), while allowing 445.0 total yards per game (189.8 rushing and 255.2 passing).

Anthony Colandrea leads UNLV with 1,403 passing yards with 68.1% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas leads the team in rushing yards with 577, while Jaden Bradley has a team-high 28 receptions for 493 receiving yards. Defensively, Marsel McDuffie has a team-high 45 total tackles (20 of them solo), while Aamaris Brown leads the team in sacks, with 2.0, and Aamaris Brown has a team-high 4 interceptions.

UNLV Rebels @ Boise State Broncos Betting Trends: Week 8

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• Boise State has won each of its last 15 games at Albertsons Stadium.
• UNLV has lost each of its last 13 October games as an underdog.
• Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last six home games in October.
• UNLV has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Idaho.
• Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
• Boise State has won the first half in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.

Why the UNLV Rebels will win

• UNLV has won each of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UNLV has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games as a road underdog.
• UNLV has won the first quarter in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UNLV’s last five games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Boise State’s last four games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Jayden Virgin-Morgan leads the Mountain West Conference for forced fumbles (2) this season.

UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Aamaris Brown is the only player to record at least one interception in four consecutive appearances this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Boise State ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+8.7).
• Boise State ranks 6th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (34:05).
• UNLV has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• UNLV has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).

UNLV vs Boise State Prediction

Boise State won both meetings against UNLV last season. At home by 21-7 and on the road by 29-24. They have won all of their 8 meetings against UNLV, and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this UNLV vs Boise State Prediction, Boise State is coming as -12-point home favorites, with the total set at 62.5 points. This line feels wrong, as UNLV has been undefeated this season, and they are a perfect 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread on the road. The Rebels also have the 19^th-best offense in the country, so I expect them to keep this one close. Take UNLV and the +12 points in this one.