New Mexico Lobos (5-3) vs. UNLV Runnin Rebels (6-1)
November 1, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Runnin Rebels -4.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The New Mexico Lobos and the UNLV Rebels meet Saturday in college football action from Allegiant Stadium. Here’s a UNLV vs New Mexico prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UNLV vs New Mexico pick.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
New Mexico started out with a tough matchup versus Michigan in their opener and ended up taking a loss. After that however, the Lobos bagged wins over Idaho State, UCLA and New Mexico State in the next trio. Losses to San Jose State and Boise State came in the ensuing pair ahead of a two-point win over Nevada. In that one the Lobos offense bagged 210 rushing yards but went just 5-of-13 on third downs and had a couple of lost fumbles. The defense gave up just 257 yards on the other side however, along with 16 first downs and 5-of-16 on third-down conversions in the 24-22 win at home.
Last weekend versus Utah State, the Lobos posted a touchdown in the first quarter and 19 more points in the second on the way to a 33-14 victory at home in the end. QB Jack Layne logged 17-of-22 passing for 183 yards and a touchdown, while Damon Bankston had 13 totes for 84 yards and a TD of his own. DJ McKinney added 11 carries for 53 yards and a score, while top receiver Cade Keith had a nice game on seven grabs for 104 yards and a TD.
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
Over on the UNLV side, they opened the season on a tear. The Rebels won each of their first six outings, dispatching Idaho State, Sam Houston, UCLA, Miami-OH, Wyoming and Air Force in that time. Matched up against Air Force on October 11, UNLV scored points in every quarter—while also giving up points in every quarter—during a 51-48 win. The Rebels posted 597 yards on offense with 377 pass yards and 10.0 yards per play, but it was a shootout. UNLV gave up 603 yards on the other side, including 428 rush yards and 32 first downs.
In their latest outing versos Boise State on October 18, the Rebels fell back into the loss column. UNLV coughed up 28 points in the first half and 21 more in the third quarter during a 56-31 road defeat. QB Anthony Colandrea logged an 18-of-30 line for 215 yards, two scores and a pick while also scoring a rush TD. Jaylon Glover rushed six times for 112 yards as the team’s leading runner and DeAngelo Irvin had four catches for 90 yards to top the receivers in the defeat.
New Mexico Lobos @ UNLV Rebels Betting Trends: Week 10
UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Aamaris Brown is the only player to record at least one interception in four consecutive appearances this season.
New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Scottre Humphrey leads New Mexico for touchdowns (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UNLV has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
- UNLV is one of two FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.
- New Mexico ranks T22nd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+3.6).
- New Mexico is one of only 24 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season (4-0).
UNLV vs New Mexico Prediction
I’ll lean toward UNLV, but you could call this one either way. The Rebels gave up a ton of production to a good Boise State team in their last outing, including 558 total yards, 294 rush yards, 9.8 yards per play and 21 first downs. The offense generated 476 yards on the other side with 261 rush yards and 6.8 yards per play but wasn’t very good on third downs (4-of-13) and couldn’t keep up on the scoreboard. The good news is that the Rebels have at least 30 points in every game so far this year. They should score pretty well Saturday also.
As for New Mexico, they looked pretty good overall against a middling Utah State team last weekend. The Lobos did most of their damage on the ground with 224 rushing yards and 38:16 in time of possession. Defensively New Mexico held the opposition to just 15 first downs and 306 yards total. The Lobos have scored 24 or more points in seven straight games now, but they’re still giving up some decent points totals to good offenses. I think UNLV could take advantage of that in a fairly high-scoring finish this weekend.
