UNLV vs North Texas Prediction Football Picks Today 9/12/26

In this article, we will formulate a UNLV vs North Texas Prediction for this College Football Week 2 matchup on Saturday, September 12^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

North Texas Mean Green Preview

The North Texas Mean Green have a 0-1 record and are coming off a 16-52 road loss to Indiana, where they were outgained 365-367 yards. North Texas had 215 passing yards, 152 rushing yards, and 23/29 completed passes. They were 6/15 on third down conversions, had 9-79 penalties, and lost the turnover battle by 1-0.

Tayven Jackson led North Texas with 22/28 passes and 192 passing yards. Jahiem White had a team-high 61 rushing yards, while Corri Milliner caught 4 passes for a team-high 66 receiving yards. Defensively, CJ Coombes led the Mean Green with 9 total tackles, one of them solo.

UNLV Rebels Preview

The UNLV Rebels have a 1-1 record and are coming off a 21-6 road win over Hawaii, where they outgained them 364-294 yards. UNLV had 116 passing yards, 248 rushing yards, and 8/18 completed passes. They were 7/15 on third down conversions, had 6-59 penalties, and won the turnover battle by 0-1.

Jackson Arnold led UNLV with 8/18 passes and 116 passing yards. Jai’Den Thomas had a team-high 143 rushing yards, while Keyan Burnett caught 3 passes for a team-high 55 receiving yards. Defensively, Tre Fulton led the Rebels with 12 total tackles, 8 of them solo, and Kal-El Togafau led the team with 2 sacks.

UNLV Rebels @ North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends: Week 2

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

• North Texas has won each of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UNLV has lost three of its last four games.
• North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UNLV has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
• North Texas has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight home games.
• North Texas has won the first half in each of its last seven home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the UNLV Rebels will win

• UNLV has won each of its last 13 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• North Texas has lost each of its last 12 games as an underdog in Texas.
• UNLV has covered the spread in each of its last 11 games in September.
• North Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six September games as a home underdog.
• UNLV has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against teams from Texas.
• North Texas has lost the first half in each of its last 13 games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of North Texas’ last six September games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of UNLV’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.

North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 2, Justin Stevenson ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 2, Jackson Arnold ranks 1st amongst FBS players for rushing attempts (37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• North Texas ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• North Texas ranks T137th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-21.0).
• UNLV ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• One of UNLV’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.

UNLV vs North Texas Prediction

In this UNLV vs North Texas Prediction, UNLV is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their previous games, as North Texas lost by 36 points in Indiana, while UNLV win Hawaii by 15. Both of UNLV’s games this season have been low-scoring ones, as they average 21 ppg and allow 16.5 and North Texas scored just 16 last week. UNLV is 7-1 to the under in its last 8 games going back to last season and with a total set at almost 60 points, I just don’t see how both teams are going to get past that. Take the under 57.5 points.