San Diego State Aztecs (3-5) vs. UNLV Rebels (6-2)
November 16, 2024 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Rebels -21 / San Diego State Aztecs +21; Over/Under: +54
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego State Aztecs and the UNLV Rebels meet in week 12 college football action from Allegiant Stadium on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction.
San Diego State Recap
The San Diego State Aztecs come into this one looking to bounce back after ending up with a 21-16 loss to New Mexico last time out. After this game, San Diego State will face off against Utah State on the road.
Aztecs Looking To Salvage Bowl Hopes
Danny O’Neil has thrown for 1,590 yards, 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.8% passing while Marquez Cooper has a team-high 965 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns. Louis Brown IV has a team-high 417 receiving yards with 2 TDs while Jordan Napier has 34 grabs for 411 yards and 4 scores. Ja’Shaun Poke also has a team-high 39 catches for 304 yards while Nate Bennett’s added 264 receiving yards as well. On defense, Tano Letuli has a team-high 47 total tackles while Trey White has a team-high 11.5 sacks. As a unit, San Diego State’s defense has combined for 29 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won eight of its last nine games against UNLV.
- UNLV has lost three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in five of its last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
UNLV Recap
The UNLV Rebels come into this game looking to build on their 29-27 win over Hawaii last time out. After this game, UNLV will head on the road for a matchup against San Jose State.
Rebels Looking To Keep Pace In Mountain West Hunt
Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,192 yards 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 64% passing while also rushing for 617 yards and 6 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas has 508 rushing yards with 4 TDs and Kylin James has 375 rushing yards with 3 scores as well on the year. Ricky White III leads the Rebels with 58 grabs for 799 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns so far this season. On defense, Jackson Woodard leads the Rebels with 85 total tackles and 3.5 sacks while Woodard and Jalen Catalon each have a team-high 4 interceptions. Antonio Doyle Jr. also has 5 sacks as well on the year. As a team, UNLV has combined for 28 sacks and 14 interceptions so far this season.
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- San Diego State has lost each of its last eight November games as a road underdog.
- UNLV has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in four of UNLV’s last five games at Allegiant Stadium.
- UNLV has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
UNLV vs San Diego State Prediction
I’m leaning towards San Diego State and the points here. UNLV’s offense hasn’t been as electric in recent weeks, and the Rebels just feel like they’ve taken a step back since the loss to Boise State. UNLV’s purpose at this point is to just keep winning so that they can secure a spot in the Mountain West title game and their chance at revenge. San Diego State needs to win out to have a shot at bowl season, and I think we get one of the most competitive efforts in recent memory from San Diego State. Give me the Aztecs and the points.
