UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction Football Picks 11-25-23

UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction Football Picks 11-25-23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The San Jose State Spartans and the UNLV Rebels meet Saturday in college football action from Allegiant Stadium. San Jose State enters this one after a matchup with San Diego State. The 6-5 Spartans went on to win by 11 points. As for UNLV, they’re coming off a game against Air Force. In that matchup the Rebels improved to 9-2 overall with a four-point win. Let's have a look at our San Jose State vs UNLV Prediction.

San Jose State Spartans 

The Spartans went on a .500 run through their first 10 games this year, but they scored pretty well in that time with 33.9 points per game on average. San Jose State notched 17 touchdowns, 221.5 yards per game and three interceptions on pass plays, alongside 182.0 yards per game, 5.4 yards per carry and 26 rushing touchdowns. 

On Saturday versus San Diego State, San Jose State broke a 10-10 tie with a third-quarter TD and held on for the win 24-13. Chevan Cordeiro finished with 174 yards, one score and one pick. Quali Conley put up 155 rush yards and a TD, and Isaac Jernagin caught two balls for 56  yards. 

San Jose State Spartans Team Facts

  • San Jose State has lost each of its last 13 games as an underdog.
  • San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • San Jose State has won the first quarter in six of its last eight games against conference opponents.
  • Five of San Jose State's last six games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.


UNLV Rebels 

Over on the Rebels’ side, they had a nice run over their first 10 games with eight victories and 43 total touchdowns. UNLV averaged 36.4 points per game with that effort, including 226.1 pass yards per game, 11 TDs and six interceptions. The rush was even better, as the Rebels posted 195.7 yards per game and 31 more scores. 

In their last matchup against Air Force, UNLV was down 27-14 going into the second half but recovered very well from there in an eventual comeback win 31-27. QB Jayden Maiava threw for 339 yards, two touchdowns and two picks while also leading the rush on 36 yards. Ricky White added eight catches for 169 yards and a TD. 

UNLV Rebels Team Facts

  • UNLV has won each of its last nine games as a home favorite.
  • UNLV has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
  • UNLV has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
  • Three of UNLV's last four home games against San Jose State have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UNLV are one of only 18 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ([z-0]).
  • UNLV rank 19th among FBS teams for points per game this season (35.9).
  • San Jose State rank T31st among FBS teams for points per game this season (33.0).


I’ll probably just stick with UNLV, but you could argue it either way. The Rebels posted a solid 465 yards of offense (351 passing) versus Air Force in their latest win, but also had just 15 first downs, 3-of-13 on third downs, 10 penalties and two picks. UNLV also gave up a whopping 344 yards rushing but otherwise kept the Falcons in check. That makes 31 or more points in all three games of this current Rebels win streak. 

As for SJSU, they came up with 355 total yards (174 passing) versus San Diego State in a pretty solid win of their own. The Spartans have hit 24 or more points in six straight games, so this one could end up being a high total. I like UNLV on the cover, but it’s a coin flip. 

Andrew Jett's Free Pick:UNLV Rebels -3.5