College Football

USF vs Navy Prediction 11-9-24 College Football Picks

Navy Midshipmen (6-1) vs. USF Bulls (4-4)
November 9, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: USF Bulls +3 / Navy Midshipmen -3; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Navy Midshipmen and the USF Bulls meet in week 11 college football action from Raymond James Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a USF vs Navy Prediction.

Navy Recap

The Navy Midshipmen come into this game looking to rebound from a 24-10 loss to Rice last time out to fall to 6-2 on the year. After this game, Navy heads home for a matchup with Tulane.


Middies Lose Back-To-Back Games

Blake Horvath has thrown for 1,096 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 59.4% passing while also rushing for a team-high 814 yards and 12 touchdowns. Alex Tecza has 370 rushing yards with 7 touchdowns while Eli Heidenreich has 231 rushing yards and a team-high 28 receptions for 551 yards and 5 touchdowns. Brandon Chatman has 202 receiving yards with 3 TDs while another pair of Midshipmen have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Colin Ramos has a team-high 92 total tackles while Justin Reed has a team-high 4.5 sacks. Dashaun Peele has a team-high 4 interceptions with a pair of pick-sixes while Rayuan Lane III has a pair of INTs as well. As a unit, Navy’s defense has combined for 17 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

  • South Florida has lost each of its last 19 November games as an underdog.
  • The favorite has won each of South Florida’s last eight games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in six of South Florida’s last seven games.
  • South Florida has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.

USF Recap

The USF Bulls come into this one looking to build on a 44-21 win over FAU last time out to improve to 4-4 on the year. After this game, USF will head back on the road for a game against Charlotte.

Bulls Win Consecutive Games For First Time This Season

Byrum Brown has thrown for 836 yards and 2 touchdowns on 59.1% passing while also putting up 269 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Bryce Archie has thrown for 739 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 54.6% passing. Kelley Joiner has 453 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns while Nay’Quan Wright has 379 rushing yards and 3 TDs and Ta’Ron Keith has 242 rushing yards with 5 TDs. Sean Atkins leads USF’s receiving group with 42 grabs for 415 yards while Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen has 223 receiving yards as well on the year. Another five Bulls have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Mac Harris has a team-high 51 total tackles while Jhalyn Shuler has a pair of interceptions. As a team, USF’s defense has combined for 21 sacks and 6 interceptions.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

  • South Florida has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams at Raymond James Stadium.
  • Navy has lost each of its last four November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • South Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five November games as a home underdog.
  • Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

USF vs Navy Prediction

I’m on the over here. I lean towards Navy, but it’s hard to figure out if Navy’s going to snap out of whatever funk they’re in right now to get back on track. USF has found some offense of their own as of late and for me this just sets up as an up-and-down back-and-forth kind of game, so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 53.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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