College Football

USF vs SMU 11/12/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

SMU Mustangs (5-4) vs. USF Bulls (1-8)
November 12, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: USF Bulls +17.5 / SMU Mustangs -17.5; Over/Under: 73.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The South Florida Bulls and SMU Mustangs square off Saturday in AAC week 11 college football action at Raymond James Stadium. The SMU Mustangs look for a win after splitting their last 6 games. The South Florida Bulls look to snap a 7-game losing streak.

The SMU Mustangs have split their last 4 road games. Tanner Mordecai is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 2,500 yards, 25 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Jordan Kerley have combined for 1,360 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Moochie Dixon has 18 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 149 yards per contest, and Velton Gardner leads the way with 345 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, SMU is allowing 33.7 points and 455.3 yards per game. Jimmy Phillips Jr. leads the SMU Mustangs with 51 tackles, Nelson Paul has 5 sacks and Nick Roberts has 3 interceptions.

The South Florida Bulls have lost 2 of their last 3 home games. Gerry Bohanon is completing 56.9 percent of his passes for 1,070 yards, 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Xavier Weaver and Jimmy Horn Jr. combined for 1,057 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Omarion Dollison has 9 receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 183.7 yards per contest, and Brian Battie leads the way with 728 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 39.9 points and 503.6 yards per game. Dwayne Boyles leads the South Florida Bulls with 81 tackles, Jason Vaughn has 5 sacks and Amaris Brown has 2 interceptions.

The Mustangs are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in November. The Bulls are 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. The under is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 road games. The over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games overall. The Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

The South Florida Bulls continue to make a case for the worst team in the country, and their defensive effort is downright pathetic. USF is probably the worst defensive team in college football, and that says a lot. However, let’s not act like the SMU Mustangs are perfect, as they’re 121st in total defense and 119th in scoring defense. This is a lot of points for two teams that couldn’t defend my grandmother. It’s USF or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: USF Bulls +17.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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