New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction Football Picks Today 11/22/25

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22^nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

UTEP Miners Preview

UTEP has a 2-8 record this season and is sitting 11th in the CUSA. They are 3-6-1 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 1-4 home record and a 1-4 away record. UTEP is coming off a 38-24 road loss against Missouri State and will face Delaware next.

Offensively, UTEP averages 21.8 points per game, ranking 110th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.0 points per game, which is 87th. UTEP averages 321.3 total yards per game (210.0 passing and 111.3 rushing), while allowing 369.9 total yards per game (162.4 rushing and 207.5 passing).

Malachi Nelson leads UTEP with 1,163 passing yards with 54.7% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Ashten Emory leads the team in rushing yards with 359, while Wondame Davis Jr. has a team-high 21 receptions for 465 receiving yards. Defensively, Micah Davey has a team-high 119 total tackles (60 of them solo), while Udoka Ezeani leads the team in sacks, with 5.

New Mexico State Aggies Preview

New Mexico State has a 3-7 record this season and is sitting 9th in the CUSA. They are 5-5 ATS, 3-7 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 0-5 away record. New Mexico State is coming off a 42-9 road loss against Tennessee and will face Middle Tennessee State next.

Offensively, New Mexico State averages 20.1 points per game, ranking 120th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.9 points per game, which is 86th. New Mexico State averages 307.0 total yards per game (242.1 passing and 64.9 rushing), while allowing 396.4 total yards per game (153.3 rushing and 243.1 passing).

Logan Fife leads New Mexico State with 2,240 passing yards with 56.4% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Kadarius Calloway leads the team in rushing yards with 332, while Donovan Faupel has a team-high 52 receptions for 583 receiving yards. Defensively, Naeten Mitchell has a team-high 80 total tackles (52 of them solo), while Ezra Christensen leads the team in sacks, with 6, and Bernock Iya has a team-high 4 interceptions.

New Mexico State Aggies @ UTEP Miners Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the UTEP Miners will win

• New Mexico State has lost seven of its last eight games.
• The favorite has won each of UTEP’s last six games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of UTEP’s last six games.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
• New Mexico State has lost the first half in six of its last seven road games against conference opponents.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won four of its last five November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UTEP has lost seven of its last eight games.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 November games as an underdog.
• UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games.
• UTEP has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last seven games as an underdog against teams from Texas have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of UTEP’s last eight games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Micah Davey leads the league for tackles (116) this season.

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Bernock Iya ranks T9th amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• UTEP ranks 134th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:31).
• UTEP ranks 133rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (29.2).
• New Mexico State ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (64.8).
• New Mexico State ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.9).

New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction

In this New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction, UTEP is coming as -3-point home favorites. Both teams have been bad this season and are both struggling mightily coming into this matchup, as they both are 1-7 in their last 8 games. Both teams have been struggling offensively, scoring just 41.9 points per game combined, and as a result, they are 7-3 to the under in their last 10 games combined. Take the under 44.5 in this one.