UTEP vs Texas Prediction 9/13/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate UTEP vs Texas Prediction for this College Football Week 3 game on Saturday, September 13^th at the DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Texas Longhorns Preview

The Longhorns have a 1-1 record this season and are ranked as No.4 in the College Football Top 136 Team Rankings for 2025. Ohio State is number 1, Penn State is number 2 and LSU is number 3 in the rankings. The Longhorns are coming off a 38-7 home victory over San Jose State. Texas outgained their opponents by 472-273 yards. They had 21/33 completed passes, 317 passing yards, 155 rushing yards, with turnovers being 2-4. The Longhorns went 2-12 in third down efficiency and had 12-115 penalties.

Arch Manning had 19/30 passes, a team-high 295 passing yards, four touchdowns and one interception. CJ Baxter added a team-high 64 rushing yards, while Parker Livingstone caught 4 passes for 128 yards. Defensively, Michael Taaffe had 8 total tackles, seven of them solo, while Maraad Watson recorded 1.5 sacks. Jaylon Guilbeau had one interception.

UTEP Miners Preview

The Miners have a 2-0 record this season and are ranked as No.115 in the College Football Top 136 Team Rankings for 2025. Ohio State is number 1, Penn State is number 2 and LSU is number 3 in the rankings. The Miners are coming off a 42-17 home victory over UT Martin. UTEP outgained their opponents by 472-371 yards. They had 15/29 completed passes, 278 passing yards, 194 rushing yards, with turnovers being 1-1. The Miners went 4-10 in third down efficiency and had 4-40 penalties.

Malachi Nelson had 14/26 passes, a team-high 278 passing yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions. Hahsaun Wilson added a team-high 117 rushing yards, while Kenny Odom caught 5 passes for 124 yards. Defensively, Micah Davey had 14 total tackles, eight of them solo, while Udoka Ezeani, Neil Campbell and Shakaun Bowser each recorded one sack. The Miners did not record any interceptions in this game.

UTEP Miners @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: Week 3

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won each of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UTEP has lost 17 of its last 18 road games in September.
• UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
• Texas has covered the spread in each of its last six games against opponents from the Conference USA.
• Texas has won the first half in each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
• Texas has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games against opponents from the Conference USA.

Why the UTEP Miners will win

• Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
• UTEP has covered the spread in three of its last four games against teams from Texas.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas’ last five games against opponents from the Conference USA have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of UTEP’s last six road games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.

Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, CJ Baxter ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, Ashten Emory leads the Conference USA for touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Texas ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• UTEP ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
• UTEP ranks T124th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:18).

UTEP vs Texas Prediction

Texas has won all four meetings against UTEP, and have covered the spread in all of them, with the most recent one being back in 2020, where the Longhorns won 59-3 at home. Texas have won all three home meetings against UTEP.

In this UTEP vs Texas Prediction, Texas is coming in as -41.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 51 points. Both teams are coming off their first wins of the season, but the Longhorns have failed to cover the spread in both of their games this season. Texas is playing elite defense despite their one loss, allowing 10.5 points per game, and are up an UTEP squad that was terrible on the road last season, with a 1-6 record. Texas won by 56 points in their most recent meeting against UTEP, and I expect another blowout win today. Take the Texas Longhorns and lay the -41.5 points at home.

For more College Football Free Picks click HERE