College Football

UTSA vs Navy Prediction Football Picks Today 10/17/26

Navy Midshipmen (2-3) vs. UTSA Roadrunners (5-1)
October 17, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: UTSA Roadrunners -8.5 ; Over/Under: 48.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Navy Midshipmen and the UTSA Roadrunners meet Saturday in college football action from the Alamodome in San Antonio. Here’s a UTSA vs Navy prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UTSA vs Navy pick.

Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview

Navy looked good after their first game this year, opening things up with a 42-15 victory over Towson. The Midshipmen would then fall 38-30 versus Florida Atlantic in the next outing however, and followed that up with a 24-20 loss to UAB. Navy was again competitive in the matchup versus Air Force, but took another close loss in that one 14-9 for a 1-3 start.

In last weekend’s matchup versus Tulsa, the Midshipmen were in trouble during the second quarter carrying a 20-7 deficit. Navy fought back with three unanswered TDs at the end of the game though, and won it in the end 34-26. Quarterback Jackson Gutierrez had 95 pass yards with one TD and a pick while adding 41 carries for 232 yards and three scores.

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview

Over on the UTSA side, they got a win in their opener as well, taking out UT Rio Grande Valley 45-16. The Roadrunners kept it going with a 31-26 win over Texas State in game two, but then took a 30-6 loss versus a very good Texas team in a road matchup. Since then it’s been three more wins over Colorado State, Rice and South Florida for a 5-1 run so far this year.

Matched up against South Florida last week, the Roadrunners traded punches for most of the first half and went into the locker room with a 17-10 deficit. UTSA retook the lead in the third quarter and eventually powered out a nice 31-24 victory in the end. QB Owen McCown was 22-of-31 for 209 yards and A’Marion Peterson had 12 carries for 92 yards and three scores.

Navy Midshipmen @ UTSA Roadrunners Betting Trends: Week 7

 

UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Michael Petro ranks T7th amongst FBS players for made field goals (11) this season.

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Braxton Woodson ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (7.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UTSA ranks T125th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (129).
  • UTSA ranks 119th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (184.7).
  • Navy has suffered the most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
  • Navy has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).

UTSA vs Navy Prediction

I’ll stick with UTSA. The Roadrunners were able to power out a win versus a pretty good South Florida team last week thanks to a solid second half. UTSA eventually notched 25 first downs and a nice 8-of-14 on third-down tries alongside 486 total yards (277 rush yards). The defense gave up just 3-of-11 on third downs but didn’t have any takeaways. UTSA has scored 31 or more points in four of their five wins so far.

As for Navy, they notched a gritty win over Tulsa last weekend, holding the opposition to 16 first downs and 7-of-16 on third-down tries. The Midshipmen posted 386 rushing yards and a nice 8-of-11 on thirds themselves. The 34 points were the most they’ve scored since hanging 42 on Towson in the opener.

Andrew's Free Pick: UTSA Roadrunners -8.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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