South Carolina Gamecocks (5-3) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-3)
November 9, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores +3.5 / South Carolina Gamecocks -3.5; Over/Under: +45.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Vanderbilt vs South Carolina prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 9th at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-3 (3-2) this year after they defeated Auburn by a score of 17-7 in their last game. Vanderbilt was tied at seven at halftime, but they outscored Auburn 10-0 in the second half for the big road win. The Commodores were outgained by a total of 327-227, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 4-16 on third down in the game. Diego Pavia threw for 143 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 26 yards on 12 carries.
Prior to that win, the Commodores lost to Texas by a score of 27-24 but did beat Ball State, Kentucky, and Alabama before that. The Vanderbilt offense has scored 30.3 points per game with 189.6 passing yards and 148.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21 points per game this season. Diego Pavia has completed 62% of his passes for 1,677 yards, 15 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Eli Stowers has caught 38 passes for 516 yards and four scores.
South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Preview
The South Carolina Gamecocks are 5-3 (3-3) this season after they defeated Texas A&M by a score of 44-20 in their last game. South Carolina was tied at 20 at the half, but they pitched a shutout in the second half for the win. The Gamecocks outgained A&M by a total of 530-350, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. LaNorris Sellers threw for 244 yards and two touchdowns, while Raheim Sanders rushed for 144 yards and two scores in the win.
Prior to that game, the Gamecocks defeated Oklahoma by a score of 35-9 but did lose to Alabama and Ole Miss before that. The South Carolina offense has scored 30.5 points per game with 193.3 passing yards and 176.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18.9 points per game this season. LaNorris Sellers has completed 60.5% of his passes for 1,212 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Raheim Sanders has rushed for 570 yards and eight scores this year.
Why Vanderbilt will cover
- Vanderbilt has won each of its last three games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- South Carolina has lost eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog.
- Vanderbilt has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of South Carolina’s last four November games against AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Vanderbilt ranks T3rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (97.1).
- Vanderbilt ranks 12th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.8).
- South Carolina ranks T7th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (31.3).
- South Carolina ranks T10th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.8).
Vanderbilt vs South Carolina Prediction
Vanderbilt has been one of the best surprises in college football so far this season and they have an opportunity for another big win here. The Commodores have only lost one game at home this season, which was just a three-point loss against Texas two games ago, but they also have a win over Alabama at home. South Carolina has won two games in a row and they have scored 44 and 35 points in those two wins. The Gamecocks did pick up a nice road win against Oklahoma two games ago, but they will face a Vanderbilt defense that is playing like one of the best in the country right now. Both of these teams appear to be hitting their stride right now, but I can’t shy away from Vanderbilt and the points at home.
