Tennessee Volunteers (9-2) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (6-5)
November 30, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores +10.5 / Tennessee Volunteers -10.5; Over/Under: +48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Vanderbilt vs Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 30th at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-5 (3-4) this year after they lost to LSU by a score of 24-17 in their last game. Vanderbilt led 7-0 in the first quarter and only trailed 14-10 in the third quarter, but they allowed the next 10 points for LSU to pull away. The Commodores were out gained by a total of 474-308, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 2-10 on third down in the game. Diego Pavia threw for 186 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 43 yards and one score.
Prior to that loss, the Commodores lost to South Carolina by a score of 28-7, but did beat Auburn by a score of 17-7 before that. The Vandy offense has scored 29.7 points per game with 187.1 passing yards and 142.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.9 points against per game this season. Diego Pavia has completed 60% of his passes for 2,029 yards, 16 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 671 yards and six scores.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers are 9-2 (5-2) this season after they defeated UTEP by a score of 56-0 in their last game. Tennessee led 28-0 at halftime and coasted to the easy victory. The Volunteers out gained UTEP by a total of 460-230, won the turnover battle 3-0, and went 6-12 on third down in the game. Nico Iamaleava threw for 209 yards and four touchdowns, while Dylan Sampson rushed for 77 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Volunteers lost to Georgia by a score of 31-17, but did win the four games prior to that. The Tennessee offense has scored 39.5 points per game with 228.5 passing yards and 228.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 13.1 points against per game this season. Nico Iamaleava has completed 65.3% of his passes for 2,255 yards, 15 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Dylan Sampson has rushed for 1,307 yards and 22 scores.
Why Vanderbilt will beat Tennessee
- The home team has won each of Tennessee’s last seven games.
- Tennessee has lost three of its last four November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The team ranked 7th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine games.
- Vanderbilt has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Vanderbilt’s last nine games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Tennessee’s last six November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Vanderbilt ranks T9th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (92.1).
- Vanderbilt ranks T16th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (5.2).
- Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (4.8).
- Tennessee ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.5).
Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction
Tennessee comes into this matchup trying to improve their ranking in the CFP, so they could use as many style points as possible here. The Volunteers have a very good defense, but their offense has been inconsistent at times this season. Vanderbilt also has a solid defense, but they have lost three of their last four games and their magic from earlier in the season as run dry. The Commodores have already had a successful season, but picking up a win in this rivalry game would be icing on the cake. I think we are going to see a defensive battle in this matchup and I like the points with Vanderbilt at home.
