Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction 10-26-24 College Football Picks
Texas Longhorns (6-1) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-2)
October 26, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores +18.5 / Texas Longhorns -18.5; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Longhorns and Vanderbilt Commodores meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at FirstBank Stadium. Here’s a Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction. This article will include a Vanderbilt vs Texas Pick.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
The Texas Longhorns beat Oklahoma, lost to Georgia, and they play Florida next. The Texas Longhorns haven’t lost a road game since October 2022. Arch Manning is completing 69 percent of his passes for 920 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Isaiah Bond and Gunnar Helm have combined for 753 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Matthew Golden has 22 receptions.
The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 166.1 yards per contest, and Quintrevion Wisner leads the way with 330 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 9.7 points and 237.3 yards per game. Anthony Hill Jr. leads the Texas Longhorns with 50 tackles, Colin Simmons has 4 sacks and Jahdae Barron has 3 interceptions.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores beat Kentucky and Ball State, and they play Auburn next. The Vanderbilt Commodores have won 4 straight home games. Diego Pavia is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 1,391 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Eli Stowers and Junior Sherrill have combined for 678 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Quincy Skinner Jr. has 16 receptions.
The Vanderbilt Commodores ground game is averaging 162.1 yards per contest, and Pavia leads the way with 470 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing 22.1 points and 331.4 yards per game. Bryan Longwell leads the Vanderbilt Commodores with 45 tackles, Nicholas Rinaldi has 3 sacks and Glenn Seabrooks III has 1 interception.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Vanderbilt has lost 17 of its last 18 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas has won nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in three of Vanderbilt’s last four games.
- Texas has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last five October home games against top-15 AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Texas’ last four games in October has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Vanderbilt ranks 6th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (96.6).
- Vanderbilt ranks 8th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (52.1).
- Texas ranks 1st among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (9.7).
- Texas ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.4).
Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction
The Texas Longhorns is obviously the better team and should be favored, but Vanderbilt has been a dragon slayer in the SEC this season. Vanderbilt upset Kentucky and Alabama has double-digit underdogs and nearly upset Missouri as well. Vanderbilt is 4-0 ATS this season as an underdog, and 3 of those covers were outright wins. Vanderbilt has covered 5 straight games as an underdog overall. Vanderbilt has covered 5 straight games as a double-digit underdog. Diego Pavia is a playmaker who has the Commodores oozing with confidence. Give me the points.