Virginia Tech vs SMU Prediction Football Picks Today 11/6/26

Virginia Tech vs SMU Prediction

In this Virginia Tech vs SMU prediction, SMU is coming as -6.5 home favorites. Both teams have been very good this season and have identical records. They have also been in good form lately, with a 4-1 and 2-0 record in their last five and two games respectively and both have been excellent both offensively and defensively. They ranking on the top-30 of the country in points per game, but they also have elite defenses, sitting on the top-55 of the country in points allowed, with just 42.7 ppg combined. Virginia Tech has scored 20 points in two of its last three games and both teams are 6-3 to the under in their last 9 games combined, so I expect the defenses to prevail over the good defense and make this a low-scoring game. Take the under 55 points in this one.

SMU Mustangs Preview

SMU has a 6-2 record and a 4-2 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 27-30 road loss against Syracuse and will face Wake Forest and Notre Dame next.

Offensively, SMU averages 35.2 points per game, ranking 26th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.2 points per game, which is 53rd. SMU averages 464.1 total yards per game (318.0 passing and 146.1 rushing), while allowing 307.6 total yards per game (125.9 rushing and 181.8 passing). They average 68.6 plays per game and 6.8 yards per play on offense, while allowing 63.3 plays per game and 4.9 yards per play on defense. SMU averages 24.8 first downs per game on offense and 16.5 first downs per game on defense. They turn the ball over 1.4 times per game and are forcing 0.8 turnovers per game.

Kevin Jennings leads SMU with 2,414 passing yards with 73.7% completed passes and 21 touchdowns. Kendrick Raphael leads the team in rushing yards with 692, while Yamir Knight has a team-high 523 receiving yards and 44 receptions. Defensively, Alex Kilgore has a team-high 41 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Marques White leads the team with 5.5 sacks.

Virginia Tech Hokies Preview

Virginia Tech has a 6-2 record and a 3-2 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 20-16 road win against Clemson and will face Stanford and Miami next.

Offensively, Virginia Tech averages 35 points per game, ranking 28th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.5 points per game, which is 37th. Virginia Tech averages 424.1 total yards per game (284.4 passing and 139.8 rushing), while allowing 311.4 total yards per game (93.4 rushing and 218.0 passing). They average 72.3 plays per game and 5.9 yards per play on offense, while allowing 60.6 plays per game and 5.1 yards per play on defense. Virginia Tech averages 23.5 first downs per game on offense and 16.4 first downs per game on defense. They turn the ball over 1.3 times per game and are forcing 0.8 turnovers per game.

Ethan Grunkemeyer leads Virginia Tech with 2,140 passing yards with 71.4% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Jeffrey Overton leads the team in rushing yards with 639, while Sean Brown has a team-high 685 receiving yards and 51 receptions. Defensively, Keon Wylie has a team-high 41 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Aycen Stevens leads the team with 8.0 sacks.

Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won each of its last nine games at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
• Virginia Tech has lost each of its last four road games in November.
• SMU has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
• Virginia Tech has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.
• Virginia Tech has lost the first half in six of its last seven November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Virginia Tech Hokies will win

• Virginia Tech has won six of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Virginia Tech’s last six November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of SMU’s last seven home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

SMU Mustangs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Kevin Jennings ranks 7th amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (21) this season.

Virginia Tech Hokies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Aycen Stevens leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for sacks (8.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• SMU ranks T127th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (2).
• SMU ranks T14th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (464.1).
• Virginia Tech ranks T4th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+8.3).
• Virginia Tech ranks T8th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (22.6).