Florida State Seminoles (3-0) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (3-1)
September 26, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers 7 / Florida State Seminoles -7; Over/Under: 58.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida State Seminoles and Virginia Cavaliers meet Friday in college football action at Scott Stadium. Here’s a Virginia vs Florida State Prediction. This article will include a Virginia vs Florida State Pick.
Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview
The Florida State Seminoles beat East Texas A&M and Kent State, and they play Miami next. Florida State has won 4 of its last 5 games. Tommy Castellanos is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 594 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Duce Robinson and Micahi Danzy have combined for 325 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jaylin Lucas has 3 receptions.
The Florida State Seminoles ground game is averaging 363 yards per contest, and Micahi Danzy leads the way with 173 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida State is allowing 10 points and 248 yards per game. Earl Little Jr. leads the Florida State Seminoles with 15 tackles, Deamontae Diggs has 1 sack and Jerry Wilson has 2 interceptions.
Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers beat William & Mary and Stanford, and play Louisville next. The Virginia Cavaliers have lost 7 of their last 11 games. Chandler Morris is completing 70.8 percent of his passes for 1,050 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Trell Harris and Cam Ross have combined for 573 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jahmal Edrine has 14 receptions.
The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 251.5 yards per contest, and J’Mari Taylor leads the way with 298 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 19.5 points and 313.5 yards per game. Landon Danley leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 20 tackles, Daniel Rickert has 2.5 sacks and Ethan Minter has 1 interception.
Florida State Seminoles @ Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Florida State has lost seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
- The home team has won each of Virginia’s last five games.
- The team ranked 8th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- Virginia has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog against teams from Florida.
- Florida State has lost the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- Virginia has lost each of its last seven September games against AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won each of Virginia’s last seven games.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Virginia’s last seven games.
- Virginia has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Florida State’s last 11 games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Virginia’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Virginia Cavaliers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Chandler Morris ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (0.8%) this season.
Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Gavin Sawchuk leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for touchdowns (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Virginia has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Virginia has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Florida State ranks 1st among FBS teams for points per game this season (58.0).
- Florida State has recorded the largest margin of victory of any FBS team this season (74-points vs East Texas A&M on September 6, 2025).
Virginia vs Florida State Prediction
Florida State is the more talented team and should be favored, but this will also be the first road test of the season. Virginia is off to a fine start of its own and could easily be undefeated if it finished its game against NC State. Virginia is an explosive offensive team that’s fifth in total offense and 11th in scoring offense.
Virginia has covered 10 of its last 15 home games as an underdog. Weekday game at home under the lights with a home team that can score as well as any in the country. This is a dangerous game for Florida State, a squad that’s getting a lot of hype quickly. Give me the points with the Cavs.
