Virginia vs Stanford Prediction Football Picks Today 9/20/25

In this article we will formulate a Virginia vs Stanford prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 20th at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup. 

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers are 2-1 (0-0) this year after they defeated William & Mary by a score of 55-16 in their last game. Virginia led 14-0 after the first quarter and 42-7 at halftime, before coasting to the victory in the second half. The Cavaliers out gained William & Mary by a total of 700-263, went 9-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Chandler Morris went 13-19 for 149 yards and one touchdown, while Harrison Waylee carried the ball 10 times for 151 yards and three scores. Kameron Courtney caught four passes for 67 yards in the win. The UVA defense recorded three sacks and three tackles for loss in the game. 

Virginia started the season with a 48-7 win over Coastal Carolina in week one, but they lost to NC State by a score of 35-31 in week two. The Cavaliers are averaging 44.7 points per game with 289.3 passing yards and 266.7 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 19.3 points against per game this season. Chandler Morris has completed 69.7% of his passes for 670 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Trell Harris has caught 14 passes for 176 yards. J’Mari Taylor has led the rushing attack for Virginia with 213 yards and six scores on 33 carries this year. 

Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview

The Stanford Cardinal are 1-2 (1-0) this season after they defeated Boston College by a score of 30-20 in their last game. Stanford led 6-0 after the first quarter and they were tied at 20 at the half, before pitching a shutout in the second half for the win. The Cardinal out gained BC by a total of 399-389, went 5-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Ben Gulbranson went 13-22 for 186 yards and one touchdown, while Micah Ford rushed 17 times for 157 yards and one score. Sam Roush caught three passes for 79 yards and one touchdown to lead the receivers. The Stanford defense recorded two sacks and five tackles for loss in the win. 

Stanford started the season with a loss to Hawaii by a score of 23-20 and a loss to BYU by a score of 27-3. The Cardinal are averaging 17.7 points per game with 145.7 passing yards and 136.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 23.3 points against per game this season. Ben Gulbranson has completed 53.6% of his passes for 437 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions, while Bryce Farrell has caught 10 passes for 140 yards. Micah Ford is the leading rusher for Stanford with 291 yards and two scores on 55 carries this season. 

Why Virginia will beat Stanford

• Stanford has lost each of its last seven road games.
• The home team has won each of Stanford’s last seven games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Virginia’s last six games.
• Stanford has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven road games.
• Stanford has lost the first half in 27 of its last 33 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Stanford’s last nine games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Virginia’s last four games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Virginia ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (19.7).
• Virginia ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (11.7).
• Stanford ranks T126th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (11.7).
• Stanford ranks 125th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (282.0).

David Racey is 16-9 (64%) in his last 25 College Football plays this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

Virginia vs Stanford Prediction 

Stanford picked up their first win of the season last week against Boston College at home, but they will fly all the way across the country for this battle, which is never easy to do. The Cardinal are not a very good offensive team and rely on Ford to do most of the work on the ground. Virginia’s defense is a bit of an unknown, but they can pass the ball and put up plenty of points. I just don’t see Stanford traveling this far and keeping this game close with their offense, so give me Virginia to cover at home.