College Football

Week 3: Wisconsin vs New Mexico State 9/17/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

New Mexico State Aggies (0-3) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (1-1)
September 17, 2022 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers -37 / New Mexico State Aggies +37; Over/Under: +47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Wisconsin Badgers and New Mexico State Aggies clash Saturday in week 3 college football action from Camp Randall Stadium.

The New Mexico State Aggies will look to bounce back from a 20-13 loss to UTEP last time out. Gavin Frakes has thrown for 197 yards, a touchdown and 3 interceptions on 48% passing while Diego Pavia’s thrown for 185 yards and 3 picks on 40% passing while also rushing for 119 yards and a pair of scores. Justice Powers leads NMSU’s receiving group with 108 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Bryce Jackson has a team-high 22 total tackles and 15 solo tackles while Chris Ojoh has 21 total tackles with 14 solo tackles. Lazarus Williams also has a pair of sacks for the Aggie defense this season.

The Wisconsin Badgers will look to rebound from a 17-14 loss to Washington State in their last game. Graham Mertz has thrown for 446 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception on 68.1% passing while Braelon Allen’s rushed for 246 yards and a pair of touchdowns this season. Chez Mellusi and Julius Davis have combined for 129 rushing yards while Chimere Dike has 137 receiving yards and a touchdown. Maema Njongmeta has a team-high 16 total tackles including 11 solo tackles while Nick Herbig has 3 sacks and John Torchio has a sack and an interception.

New Mexico State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 non-conference games. Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.

I get the reasoning for backing a sizeable underdog, but the Aggies haven’t been very good, even with the new coaching staff. On the other side, the Badgers are the better team, but they haven’t been a team that necessarily blows other teams away, and they usually rely on solid defense. I wouldn’t be surprised if this was a 35-0 or 38-0 kind of game, so give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 47.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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