Nevada Wolf Pack (1-2) vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1)
September 20, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -380 / Nevada Wolf Pack 300; Over/Under: 54.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Nevada Wolf Pack and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers meet in week 4 college football action from L.T. Smith Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction.
Nevada Wolf Pack Recap
The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game looking to rebound from their 14-13 loss at the hands of the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders last time out to sit at 1-2 on the year. After this game, the Wolf Pack will head on the road for a game against Fresno State.
Wolf Pack Looking To Rebound On The Road
Chubba Purdy has thrown for 329 yards, a touchdown and 4 interceptions on 55.8% passing while AJ Bianco has 106 passing yards and a touchdown with an interception as well. Purdy’s also leading the Wolf Pack in rushing with 216 yards and a touchdown while Herschel Turner has 153 rushing yards as well on the year. Marcus Bellon leads the Wolf Pack with 153 receiving yards and a touchdown on 11 catches while Jordan Brown has 11 grabs for 145 yards as well this season. On defense, Dylan Labarbera has 21 total tackles with a pair of sacks while Stone Combs has 21 total tackles with a team-high 12 solo tackles. As a unit, Nevada has combined for 8 sacks and a pair of interceptions this season.
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
- Western Kentucky has lost three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in six of Nevada’s last seven games.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Recap
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come into this game looking to rebound from their 45-21 loss at the hands of the Toledo Rockets last time out to sit at 2-1 on the year. After this game, the Hilltoppers will head on the road for a game against Missouri State.
Hilltoppers Looking To Rebound From First Loss
Maverick McIvor has thrown for 941 yards, 10 touchdowns and an interception on 66.7% passing while Marvis Parrish leads the Hilltoppers in rushing with 93 yards. Moussa Barry has a team-high 210 receiving yards to lead the Hilltoppers in receiving while Matthew Henry has 11 grabs for 198 yards and 3 TDs and K.D. Hutchinson has 184 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns as well. Parrish also has a team-high 14 grabs for 100 yards as well this season. On defense, Dave Herard leads the Hilltoppers with 14 total tackles including 9 solo tackles while Jaylen Lewis has a team-high 10 solo tackles this season. On defense, the Hilltoppers have combined for 4 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win
- Nevada has lost each of its last seven road games in September.
- Western Kentucky has won each of its last six home games in September.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Western Kentucky has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games in September.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Nevada’s last six September games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Western Kentucky’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction
I’m on WKU here. I just don’t trust this Nevada team to shut down anything through the air here and I have to truly wonder what Nevada’s mindset is after a total collapse against Middle Tennessee last week. The Hilltoppers fell flat in a big spot against Toledo, but I look for them to rebound in a big way here against a bad Nevada team. Give me the Hilltoppers.
