Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/1/25

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers meet in week 10 college football action from Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction.

New Mexico State Aggies Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 24-17 loss at the hands of Missouri State last time out to sit at 3-4 this season. After this game, New Mexico State will head home for a game against Kennesaw State.

Aggies Lose Back-To-Back Games

Logan Fife has thrown for 1,721 yards, 9 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 57.6% passing while Kadarius Calloway has rushed for 280 yards and 3 touchdowns this season to lead the Aggies on the ground. Donovan Faupel has a team-high 36 catches for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns to lead the Aggies in receiving while Gavin Harris has 24 grabs for 352 yards and a TD. Two more Aggies have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Naeten Mitchell has a team-high 56 total tackles including 37 solo tackles and 3 interceptions while Ezra Christensen has a team-high 6 sacks as well this season. As a unit, New Mexico State’s defense has combined for 14 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won each of its last four November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in each of its last seven November games as an underdog.
• Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as a favorite.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Recap

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come into this game looking to add on to their 28-27 win over Louisiana Tech last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, Western Kentucky will head home for a game against Middle Tennessee.

Hilltoppers Win 4 Of Last 5

Maverick McIvor has thrown for 1,863 yards, 12 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 67.3% passing while Marvis Parrish has a team-high 291 rushing yards and George Hart III has 205 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. La’Vell Wright has 199 rushing yards and 5 TDs as well this season. Matthew Henry has a team-high 487 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while K.D. Hutchinson has 407 receiving yards and 3 TDs as well this season. Moussa Barry has 279 receiving yards and Noah Meyers has 242 receiving yards while four more Hilltoppers have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jaylen Wester leads the Hilltoppers with 54 total tackles including 22 solo tackles while Jaylen Lewis has a team-high 28 solo tackles and a pair of interceptions this season. On defense, the Hilltoppers have combined for 7 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

• Western Kentucky has won 19 of its last 22 home games in November.
• New Mexico State has lost six of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
• Western Kentucky has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games after coming off overtime.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Western Kentucky’s last six games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total points line.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction

I’m on New Mexico State and the points here. I think that WKU still wins this game, but the thing is that the Hilltoppers have won a lot of close games and I think this game could be something similar here. New Mexico State has some balance and has the offensive pieces to give this WKU defense some problems and as such I’ll take the points with New Mexico State here.