Western Michigan vs Ball State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/11/25
Ball State Cardinals (2-3) vs. Western Michigan Broncos (3-3)
October 11, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Western Michigan Broncos -9.5 / Ball State Cardinals 9.5; Over/Under: 43.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Ball State Cardinals and Western Michigan Broncos meet Saturday in college football action at Waldo Stadium. Here’s a Western Michigan vs Ball State Prediction. This article will include a Western Michigan vs Ball State Pick.
Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview
The Ball State Cardinals beat Ohio, lost to UConn, and they play Akron next. Ball State has lost 8 of its last 9 games. Kiael Kelly is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 657 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Qian Magwood and Eric Weatherly have combined for 288 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Donovan Hamilton has 10 receptions.
The Ball State Cardinals ground game is averaging 153.8 yards per contest, and Qua Ashley leads the way with 316 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 29.4 points and 414.6 yards per game. Alfred Chea leads the Ball State Cardinals with 24 tackles, Nathan Voorhis has 8 sacks and Jahmad Harmon has 4 pass deflections.
Western Michigan Broncos Betting Preview
The Western Michigan Broncos beat Rhode Island and UMASS, and play Miami OH next. The Western Michigan Broncos have won 3 straight games. Broc Lowry is completing 60.5 percent of his passes for 751 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Baylin Brooks and Talique Williams have combined for 416 receiving yards on 28 catches, while Blake Bosma has 11 receptions.
The Western Michigan Broncos ground game is averaging 132.8 yards per contest, and Broc Lowry leads the way with 319 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing 24.2 points and 326.2 yards per game. Tate Hallock leads the Western Michigan Broncos with 32 tackles, Nadame Tucker has 5 sacks and Domanick Moon has 1 interception.
Western Michigan Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Jalen Buckley has the most rushing attempts without a rushing touchdown this season (68).
Ball State Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Nathan Voorhis ranks T1st amongst FBS players for sacks (7.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Western Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Western Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Ball State has overturned the largest 2nd quarter deficit to win a game this season – 14 points vs Ohio.
- Ball State ranks 135th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-9.0).
Western Michigan vs Ball State Prediction
Statistically, Ball State is an awful team on both sides of the ball, but a lot of that is inflated after poor performances against Auburn and Purdue. Western Michigan is the better team, playing the better ball, and has shown more signs of life defensively.
With all of that said, Ball State has covered 4 straight games and has covered 14 of its last 19 games as an underdog. One of those covers came this year as an outright win over Ohio as a 14-point underdog. Ball State doesn’t do anything special and doesn’t win games much, but it cashes tickets at a high degree in these spots. Give me the points with Ball State.
