Draftkings WNBA Showdown Picks: Mercury vs. Aces 10/3/25
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
October 2, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The WNBA presents Draftkings basketball fans with a playoff matchup featuring the Phoenix Mercury and the Las Vegas Aces. Let’s take a look at this game from a DFS perspective.
Before we dive into the Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces game let’s review the rules for the Draftkings single game showdown contest.
Draftkings Single Game Showdown Contest Rules
You have $50,000 to utilize on five players from either team. However, one of those players will be designated as your team captain. The captain accumulates 1.5 times the standard fantasy points. Additionally, the captain is 1.5 times the standard cost of the flex position.
The remaining four players in your lineup will receive the standard fantasy points. Having stated that, it is highly important for you to identify the correct player for your captain position if you hope to win a large field DFS GPP (guaranteed prize pool) showdown contest.
If you have additional questions regarding the rules for the single game showdown contest, I recommend that you check out the Draftkings website for more details.
*I recommend that all readers review the starting lineups for both teams prior to setting your DFS lineup for this one game slate.
Here are my Draftkings picks for tonight’s Mercury vs. Aces matchup.
Draftkings WNBA Showdown Picks
Captain-Alyssa Thomas, Forward, Phoenix Mercury $11,000
Talented forward Alyssa Thomas has been the driving force behind the Phoenix Mercury’s success on the basketball court this season. With that said, how has Thomas forward performed from a statistical perspective? Let’s review the veteran forward’s relevant player data from the 2025 WNBA regular season to answer that question.
In the 39 games that forward Alyssa Thomas played for the Phoenix Mercury in the 2025 WNBA regular season, Thomas averaged a rather impressive 15.4 points, 8.8 rebounds, 9.2 assists, 1.6 steals and 0.4 blocks a game.
Looking at the data just presented more closely, in the 39 games that Alyssa Thomas played for the Mercury in 2025, Thomas compiled a 53.2% field goal percentage and a 69.2% free throw percentage.
More recently, in the New York Liberty’s 76-69 victory over the Phoenix Mercury last month, Phoenix forward Alyssa Thomas certainly played at a high level. More specifically, in the Liberty’s win over the Mercury, Thomas tallied 14 points, nine rebounds, eight assists and one steal.
Examining the data just presented more closely, in the New York Liberty’s defeat of the Mercury, Thomas accumulated 37.75 Draftkings points.
As I noted in the rules section above, selecting the correct player at the captain position for a Draftkings WNBA showdown lineup is absolutely vital if you hope to win a large field GPP (guaranteed prize pool) DFS contest. Keep that in mind as you construct your lineups.
In my view, Alyssa Thomas is the most likely player to post the most Draftkings points in this WNBA Finals game. For that specific reason, I am backing Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas at the captain position for this one game Draftkings WNBA Showdown contest.
Flex Plays
A’ja Wilson, Center, Las Vegas Aces $12,800
In the 40 games that A’ja Wilson played for the Las Vegas Aces in the 2025 WNBA regular season, Wilson averaged a whopping 23.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.6 steals and 2.3 blocks a game.
Looking at the data just presented more closely, in the 40 games that A’ja Wilson has played for the Las Vegas Aces this season, Wilson averaged 33.7 Draftkings points a contest.
In conclusion, I fully expect Las Vegas Aces center A’ja Wilson to continue her outstanding play in tonight’s WNBA Finals game.
Additional flex plays I like to play well in this WNBA Finals game (Draftkings price noted): DeWanna Bonner, Forward (Phoenix Mercury) $6,000: Jewell Loyd, Guard (Las Vegas Aces) $6,600.
