Los Angeles Dodgers (56-35) vs. Colorado Rockies (40-51)
July 16, 2021 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +184 / Los Angeles Dodgers -200; Over/Under: +11
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The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Colorado Rockies meet in an NL West division matchup in MLB action from Coors Field on Friday night.
The Los Angeles Dodgers enter the second half of the season trying to chase down the San Francisco Giants for the NL West lead, sitting two games back at 56-35. Justin Turner leads the Dodgers with 93 hits and a .305 batting average while Mookie Betts has 21 doubles and joins Chris Taylor and Gavin Lux with a team-high 3 triples apiece. Max Muncy leads Los Angeles with 19 home runs, 52 RBIs and a .414 OBP. Julio Urias is expected to start here and is 11-3 with a 3.64 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. in his career, Urias is 1-1 with a 5.13 ERA and 44 strikeouts against the Rockies.
The Colorado Rockies will attempt to stir the pot in the NL West after ending the first half with a record of 40-51. Raimel Tapia leads the Rockies with a .283 batting average while Ryan McMahon leads the way for the Rockies with 16 home runs and 47 RBIs, but McMahon’s countering that by leading the Rox with 90 strikeouts on the year. Tapia also has a team-high 20 doubles while Trevor Story has 18 doubles and Garrett Hampson has a team-high 5 triples. Antonio Senzatela is expected to start here and is 2-8 with a 4.58 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. in his career, Senzatela is 3-5 with a 7.08 ERA and 29 strikeouts against the Dodgers.
Los Angeles is 45-18 in their last 63 division games and 70-30 in their last 100 games following a win while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 series-opening games. Colorado is 21-7 in their last 28 home games and 9-4 in their last 13 games overall while the under is 8-0 in their last 8 games following a win.
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I get why the Dodgers are favored with Urias on the mound and Senzatela’s numbers have been horrendous. However, I think there’s value with this line. I think Colorado can do enough to keep the Dodgers within arms reach here and try to potentially steal it late. The win isn’t going to come off of Urias if the Rockies steal it, but keep it a one run game into the 7th inning and Colorado could have a shot if Senzatela pitches a competent start. The plus money is just too good to pass up when the Rockies are winning almost 65% of their home games this year. Give me the Rockies here.