Arizona Diamondbacks (30-69) vs. Chicago Cubs (48-50)
July 24, 2021 2:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -139 / Arizona Diamondbacks +129; Over/Under: -11.5
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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs meet Saturday in MLB action at Wrigley Field. The Diamondbacks look for a win after winning four of their last five games. The Cubs look for a win after splitting their last eight games.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 20 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four of their last seven games. The Diamondbacks have won four straight games when scoring four or more runs. Eduardo Escobar leads the Diamondbacks with 89 hits and 65 RBI while Pavin Smith and Josh Rojas have combined for 173 hits and 59 RBI. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 6-7 with a 4.46 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Cubs.
The Chicago Cubs have scored 12 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Cubs have won four of their last five games when scoring four or more runs. Kris Bryant leads the Cubs with 81 hits and 48 RBI while Javier Baez and Anthony Rizzo have combined for 153 hits and 99 RBI. Alec Mills gets the ball, and he is 4-3 with a 4.64 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Mills’ second career game against the Diamondbacks.
The Diamondbacks are 11-41 in their last 52 road games and 6-20 in their last 26 Saturday games. The Cubs are 21-10 in their last 31 home games and 6-17 in their last 23 overall. The over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall. The over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games. The Diamondbacks are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago and 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
The Diamondbacks have had a strong week, but I’m not buying it long term, especially on the road where they’ve been god awful. The Cubs have issues of their own, but they’ve played their best ball at home this season and Mills has been an improved pitcher over his last three or four starts. I’ll lay the cheap price with the Cubs, as backing the Diamondbacks isn’t much of an option.