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Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 10/19/21

Houston Astros (99-70) vs. Boston Red Sox (98-72)
October 19, 2021 8:08 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -125 / Houston Astros +105; Over/Under: +10
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in Game 4 of the ALCS in MLB action at Fenway Park. The Astros need a win here to even up the series at 2-2. The Red Sox look for another win and a commanding 3-1 series lead.

The Houston Astros have scored 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last seven games. The Astros have won four of their last six games when scoring four or more runs. Carlos Correa leads the Astros with nine hits and five RBI while Alex Bregman and Michael Brantley have combined for 16 hits and eight RBI. Zack Greinke gets the ball, and he was 11-6 with a 4.16 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. Greinke is 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA and 97 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Boston Red Sox have scored 25 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six straight games. The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games when scoring four or more runs. Enrique Hernandez leads the Red Sox with 16 hits and nine RBI while Alex Verdugo and Rafael Devers have combined for 20 hits and 16 RBI. Nick Pivetta gets the ball, and he was 9-8 with a 4.53 ERA and 175 strikeouts this season. Pivetta is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 playoff games and 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games. The Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite and 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 overall. The over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall. The Astros are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Zack Greinke hasn’t exactly been lights out this season, and he’s pitched just 12.1 innings since September. While well rested, Greinke hasn’t been able to build a rhythm and isn’t exactly the pitcher I want to throw out there with the season pretty much on the line. Pivetta has been hit or miss this season, but he’s allowed just three runs in his last 9.2 innings and is coming off a game where he had seven strikeouts in four frames. Also, the Red Sox offense is on fire all postseason, and it’s starting to feel like they’re a team of destiny a little?

Give me the Red Sox.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -125

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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