MLB

MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins – August 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins - August 5, 2022
2022-08-05 20:10:00 EDT

The Toronto Blue Jays (59-46) face the Minnesota Twins (55-50) at Target Field on Friday at 8:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jose Berrios is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Tyler Mahle is the probable pitcher for the Twins.

  • The Blue Jays have a 54-50-1 O/U record this season (meaning 54 games have gone over the total runs line, 50 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Twins have a 50-48-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.5 (10th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (T15th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .265 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .250 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 130 (9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 135 (T5th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 496 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 457 RBIs to rank 13th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.05 this season (20th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.85 (11th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 897 this season, ranking T15th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T19th for total strikeouts, recording 862.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Twins this season (13th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays’ opponents are at .245 (18th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Blue Jays 31-23-51 16-12-27 15-11-24 24-21-41 7-2-10 0-0-0 5-0-5
  • Twins 32-20-53 16-10-27 16-10-26 21-10-31 11-10-22 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Blue Jays 43-28-34 25-10-20 18-18-14 35-21-30 8-7-4 0-0-0 4-1-5
  • Twins 46-33-26 24-15-14 22-18-12 34-12-16 12-21-10 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 47-58 in Blue Jays games this season. The Twins have a 50-55 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a 9-3 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 3 RBIs. The Blue Jays have now won three straight at Target Field against the Twins.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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