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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals – August 28, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals - August 28, 2022
2022-08-28 13:35:00 EDT

The Cincinnati Reds (50-75) face the Washington Nationals (42-85) at Nationals Park on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nick Lodolo is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Patrick Corbin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -121.

  • The Reds (+140) have a 60-65 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-165) hold a record of 54-73.
  • The Reds have a 62-59-4 O/U record this season (meaning 62 games have gone over the total runs line, 59 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 60-62-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging 3.7 (26th).
  • In the field, the Reds are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.4 runs (29th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.


Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .241 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .247 (12th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 106 (T25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 119 (T19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 512 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 451 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Nationals have an earned run average of 5.14 this season (30th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 4.99 (28th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 1088 this season, ranking 13th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 990.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .267 against the Nationals this season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds’ opponents are at .257 (26th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Reds 21-28-76 15-11-35 6-16-41 10-7-10 11-21-66 0-1-0 2-1-7
    Nationals 27-34-66 12-16-37 15-18-29 5-4-8 22-30-58 0-0-0 1-2-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Reds 41-51-33 27-19-15 14-31-18 11-13-3 30-38-30 0-1-0 4-3-3
    Nationals 33-68-26 13-36-16 20-32-10 6-9-2 27-59-24 0-0-0 4-3-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 72-53 in Reds games this season. The Nationals have a 63-64 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Reds recorded a 6-2 victory over the Nationals at Nationals Park yesterday. TJ Friedl dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 3 RBIs. The Reds have now won three straight at Nationals Park against the Nationals.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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