Blue Jays vs. Braves Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/12/23

Chris RuffoloMay 11, 2023
Blue Jays vs. Braves Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/12/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Atlanta Braves and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in MLB action from Rogers Centre on Friday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


Atlanta is listed as a -150 road favorite while Toronto is a +130 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Atlanta will start Spencer Strider here and is 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. Toronto is starting Chris Bassitt and he is 4-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Toronto’s 8-4 win over Atlanta back on May 13th, 2021 made it six straight wins for the Blue Jays in this head-to-head matchup.


Atlanta is 38-14 in their last 52 series-opening games and 104-49 in their last 153 games overall while the over is 9-2 in their last 11 interleague road games. Toronto is 3-7 in their last 10 games overall and 19-7 in their last 26 interleague home games while the under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 home games against a team with a right-handed starter.


I’m rolling with the over here. Spencer Strider’s been a solid piece for Atlanta’s rotation all season, but for some reason, whether it’s by his hand, his offense backing him up or both, Strider’s starts this season have been high-scoring. Bassitt’s have been as well, and these are two really potent and talented lineups from 1 through 9. I think we have a high-scoring battle here, a game that gets into double digits, so give me the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:Over 8.5
Chris Ruffolo photograph

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg