Padres vs. Dodgers Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/7/23

Chris RuffoloMay 07, 2023
Padres vs. Dodgers Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/7/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet in an NL West division matchup in this week’s installment of Sunday night baseball. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


This game is lined as a coin flip with -110 odds on both sides. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Julio Urias will start for the Dodgers here and is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Joe Musgrove will get the nod for the Padres and is 1-0 with a 10.80 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Los Angeles’ 2-1 win over the Padres on Saturday snapped San Diego’s four-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.


Los Angeles is 49-22 in their last 71 division games and 87-40 in their last 127 games overall while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games against a team with a right-handed starter. San Diego is 6-2 in their last 8 home games and 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.


I’m backing the under here. I think this is going to be a bona fide pitcher’s duel from start to finish as Urias and Musgrove are two of the best starters that their respective rotations have to offer. Saturday saw just three runs despite a far less attractive pitching matchup than what we have here, and I think we get another duel. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:Under 8.5
Chris Ruffolo photograph

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg