Twins vs. Padres Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/11/23

Chris RuffoloMay 11, 2023
Twins vs. Padres Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/11/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The San Diego Padres and the Minnesota Twins meet in MLB action from Target Field on Thursday afternoon. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


San Diego is listed as a -120 road favorite while Minnesota is a +100 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 8 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Yu Darvish will start here for the Padres and is 2-2 ith a 3.19 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Minnesota will start Bailey Ober here and is 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Minnesota’s 4-3 win over San Diego on Wednesday snapped the Padres’ two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.


San Diego is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss and 8-3 in their last 11 game three matchups while the under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 interleague games. Minnesota is 2-5 in their last 7 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 games against the NL West while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall.


I’m backing the Twins here. I just like what I’ve seen from Bailey Ober up to this point and the Twins are hitting righties fairly well at home. Yu Darvish has solid numbers outside of that start in Mexico City, and he won his fair share of games on the road last season, but the Twins in my opinion are just where the value lies here so I’ll back the Twins.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:Minnesota -120
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Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg