Twins vs. Royals Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/30/23
Kansas City Royals (7-21) vs. Minnesota Twins (16-12)
April 30, 2023 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -205 / Kansas City Royals +170; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins meet in an AL Central division matchup in MLB action from Target Field on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Minnesota is a -205 home favorite while Kansas City is a +175 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Brady Singer will start for the Royals and is 2-2 with a 6.67 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Sonny Gray will get the start for the Twins and is 3-0 with a 0.62 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Kansas City’s 3-2 win over the Twins on Saturday snapped Minnesota’s four-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Kansas City is 1-7 in their last 8 division games and 16-36 in their last 52 games overall while the under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games. Minnesota is 8-2 in their last 10 division games and 5-2 in their last 7 home games while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a right-handed starter.
Pick
I’m backing the under here. I just don’t trust the Royals offense to do much heavy lifting against Sonny Gray, and what was a more favorable matchup for the Royals on Saturday saw them plate just 3 runs. Minnesota only potted a pair of runs on Saturday and I think the offense will likely be more efficient here, but the Twins will still be in a lower-scoring game here. Give me the under.