Angels vs Astros Prediction 3/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Angels vs Astros Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, March 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 0-2 record this season and are sitting in last place of the AL West. They are coming off a 6-2 home defeat by the Angels and their previous three games were a 3-0 home loss to the Angels, a 3-2 home loss to the Cardinals, and a 7-5 road win over the Mets in spring training.

The Astros have a .169 batting average this season, .270 OBP and .262 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. Carlos Correa is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Yordan Alvarez leads the team in RBI with one , also adding a team-high one home run.

Cristian Javier (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and last season he had a 2-4 record, 4.62 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.

Los Angeles Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels have a 2-0 record this season and are sitting in first place of the AL West. They are coming off a 6-2 road win over the Astros and their previous three games were a 3-0 road win over the Astros, a 3-0 road win over the Dodgers, and a 7-7 road tie with the Dodgers in spring training.

The Angels have a .278 batting average this season, .388 OBP and .514 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’ pitching staff has a 1.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Mike Trout is the team’s best hitter with a .667 batting average, also adding a team-high 2 home runs. Josh Lowe leads the team in RBI with 3.

Reid Detmers (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels, and last season he had a 3.96 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: March 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristian Javier      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Home Record: –
• Last 5 against Angels: 2-0

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won 10 of their last 11 night games against the Angels following a loss.
• The Angels have lost 23 of their last 27 games against the Astros following a win.
• The Angels have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have covered the run line in 17 of their last 21 games against the Angels at Daikin Park following a loss.
• The Angels have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Angels have lost the first inning in six of their last eight night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Reid Detmers      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Astros: 0-1

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

• The Astros have lost each of their last eight night games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Angels have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Astros.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Saturday games as home favorites.
• The Angels have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Angels and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Angels’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Astros’ last seven night games at Daikin Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Angels’ last six games at Daikin Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Cristian Javier has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Saturday appearances at Daikin Park.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Saturday appearances at Daikin Park.
• Cristian Javier has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeremy Pena ranked 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.304) last season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
• Mike Trout has hit at least one home run in five of the Angels’ last six games.
• Nolan Schanuel has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous road appearances against the Astros.
• Jo Adell ranked 9th in the league in Home Runs (37) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros ranked 2nd in the league for strikeouts last season (1504).
• The Astros ranked 27th in the league for triples last season (12).
• The Angels ranked 30th in the league for doubles last season (212).
• The Angels ranked 30th in the league for batting average last season (.225).

Angels vs Astros Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, but the Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Houston. Under is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Angels vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -150 home favorites. Houston looked awful in its first two games of the season, having scored just two total runs while having earned nine. They have also been hitting with an abysmal .169 rate and are now putting Cristian Javier on the mound, who was terrible last season with a 4.62 ERA. I don’t trust the Astros until they prove otherwise, so I will take the Angels once again today for a nice plus price.