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Angels vs Red Sox Prediction 9/9/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Angels (55-90) vs. Boston Red Sox (80-66)
September 9, 2026 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -217 / LA Angels 177; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, September 9th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have an 80-66 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 36-35 home record and are coming off a 1-6 home loss against the Angels. They will face the Royals and the Rangers next.


The Boston Red Sox have a .248 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .404 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Willson Contreras leads the team in RBI with 79, adding a team-high 26 home runs.

Jake Bennett (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 9-6 record, 3.34 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.

Los Angeles Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels have a 55-90 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL West. They have a 25-46 road record and are coming off a 6-1 road win against the Red Sox. They will face the Nationals and the Mariners next.

The Los Angeles Angels have a .234 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .371 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’ pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Mike Trout is the team’s best hitter with a .243 batting average. Zach Neto leads the team in RBI with 69, adding a team-high 24 home runs.

Ryan Johnson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels, and he has a 3-8 record, 5.17 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: September 9, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Jake Bennett      Record this season: 9-6      ERA: 3.34
  • Home Record: 5-3
  • Last 5 against Angels: 1-0

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Angels have lost each of their last 12 night games against AL opponents following a road win.
  • The Red Sox have won each of their last six night games against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against the Angels.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Angels.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Johnson      Record this season: 3-8      ERA: 5.17
  • Road Record: 1-5
  • Last 5 against Red Sox: 0-1

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

  • The road team has won seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Angels following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • The road team has covered the run line in six of the Angels’ last seven games.
  • The Angels have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
  • The Angels have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Angels’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Red Sox’s last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Angels’ last six games.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of Jake Bennett’s last six appearances as a starter.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Angels.
  • Jake Bennett has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Jake Bennett has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Mike Trout has hit at least one home run in six of the Angels’ last 10 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mike Trout has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Mike Trout ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.376) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (264).
  • The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (420).
  • The Angels rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
  • The Angels rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (585).

Angels vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Angels and have won two of their last three meetings in Boston.

In this Angels vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -210 home favorites. The Red Sox are -210 favorites with Jake Bennett on the mound who has been in worse form than Ryan Johnson. Bennett has given up 3+ runs in seven of his last eight starts, while Ryan Johnson has given up one run or less in five of his last six. The Angels are much better against lefties in their last 5 games than the Red Sox are against righties, with 5.4 runs per game and .348 batting average in that span, while having a better bullpen ERA in their last 10 games. Take the Angels by +1.5 in this one and sprinkle on the moneyline as well.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels +1.5

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