Arizona Diamondbacks vs LA Dodgers Prediction 8/7/26 MLB Picks Today

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Roki Sasaki for the start here and Sasaki is 5-5 with a 4.64 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Arizona will trot out Merrill Kelly here and Kelly is 8-9 with a 5.04 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-6 loss at the hands of the Chicago Cubs last time out to sit at 69-46 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will head home for a series against the Kansas City Royals.

Dodgers Lose 6 In A Row

Andy Pages has 118 hits with 23 doubles, 18 home runs and 74 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 72 hits with 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 120 hits with 22 doubles, 26 home runs and 70 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 131 hits with 27 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 54 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 88 hits with 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 52 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 93 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 52 RBIs this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-1 loss at the hands of San Diego last time out to sit at 61-55 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will take on the Colorado Rockies in a series at home.

Diamondbacks Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight

Corbin Carroll has 103 hits including 23 doubles, 12 triples, 16 home runs and 53 RBIs. Ketel Marte has 110 hits with 22 doubles, 3 triples, 19 home runs and 62 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 97 hits, with 14 doubles, 4 triples, 9 home runs and 41 RBIs as well this season. Nolan Arenado also has 90 hits with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 53 RBIs and Gabriel Moreno has 92 hits with 19 doubles, 8 home runs and 50 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 90 hits with 17 doubles, 4 triples, 7 home runs and 55 RBIs.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: August 7, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly      Record this season: 8-9      ERA: 5.04
• Home Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 1-2

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Dodgers have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Dodgers’ last six games.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Roki Sasaki      Record this season: 5-5      ERA: 4.64
• Road Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight games against the Diamondbacks following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven Friday home games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday home games against National League opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games at Chase Field.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Chase Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the last five games between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks at Chase Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Dodgers’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last five road games against NL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the last five games between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Tim Tawa has hit a home run in five of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded four or more strikeouts in 43 of his last 46 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 15 games.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (26).
• The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (785).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.262).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.339).

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. You have two of the least trustworthy options as starting pitcher’s in their respective rotations and I look for that to continue here. Sasaki’s been more than hittable this season and Kelly has been hit by this Dodger lineup in the past so I’ll roll with the over as well between two teams with shaky bullpen pitching also.