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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction 5-24-24 Picks

Miami Marlins (17-34) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (24-26)
May 24, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -185 / Miami Marlins +169; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 17-34 on the year despite recent wins over the Mets and Brewers. The Miami Marlins have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Miami Marlins have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 52 hits and 25 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 92 hits and 51 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 24-26 on the year and recently beat the Tigers and Dodgers. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 58 hits and 27 RBI, while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Christian Walker have combined for 92 hits and 59 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Braxton Garrett gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-0 with a 10.24 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Garrett has allowed 12 hits and 11 runs in 9.2 innings this season. This will be Garrett’s first road game since last year’s playoff game against the Phillies. Garrett is 0-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Zac Gallen gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 5-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Gallen has allowed 12 hits and 5 runs in his last 18.2 innings. Gallen has a 1.52 ERA and .200 allowed batting average in 23.2 home innings. Gallen is 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last eight road games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 appearances.
  • Christian Walker has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous home appearances against the Marlins after not playing the previous day.
  • Tucker Barnhart has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded a win in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Pavin Smith has recorded at least one Single in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as favorites against the Marlins.
  • Jake McCarthy has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Braxton Garrett has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Marlins as road underdogs.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last eight road games.
  • Josh Bell has recorded a Single in each of the Marlins’ last six road games against NL West opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded a Double in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 28th in the league for steals this season (21).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (379).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks this season (119).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (275).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins are winning games all of a sudden, and it makes them worth a look in the underdog role. The Arizona Diamondbacks have also underachieved up to this point, so I wouldn’t be mad if looking at the road dog. With that said, Braxton Garrett has been horrible through 2 starts and I doubt he finds his form on the road. Zac Gallen is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and he was also traded from Miami for Jazz Chisholm, so there’s always motivation in this matchup. The Diamondbacks have a clear edge at the starting pitching matchup. Give me the Diamondbacks and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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