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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 6-30-24 Picks

Oakland Athletics (30-55) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (40-43)
June 30, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -200 / Oakland Athletics +167; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Oakland Athletics prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 30th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Diamondbacks Trying for Two Straight 

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 40-43 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Arizona dropped the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 3-0 on Saturday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Twins, lost two out of three against the Phillies, and won two out of three against the Nationals. Arizona is 2-5 in their last seven games and they are third in the NL West. 

The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .264 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 389 runs with a .250 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Ketel Marte is batting .290 with 17 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season. Arizona has allowed at least eight runs in three of their last four games. 

Athletics Looking for a Rare Series Win 

The Oakland Athletics are 30-55 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Oakland won game one of this series by a score of 9-4 on Friday night, but they were shutout in game two. Prior to this series, the Athletics lost all three against the Angels, lost two out of three against the Twins, and won two out of three against the Royals. Oakland is just 4-16 in their last 20 games and they are last in the AL West. 

The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 305 runs with a .222 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Brent Rooker is batting .265 with 15 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland has scored two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Luis Medina, who is 1-3 with a 5.25 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 24.0 innings pitched this year. Medina has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 3-6 with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 97.0 innings pitched this season. Pfaadt has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five outings. 

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Athletics

  • The Athletics have lost each of their last 10 road games after playing the previous day.
  • The home team has won four of the Athletics’ last five games.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Athletics’ last seven games.
  • The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 12 Sunday games.
  • The Athletics have lost the first inning in each of their last five Sunday road games.
  • The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against National League opponents.

Why the Athletics will beat the Diamondbacks

  • The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Athletics have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
  • The Athletics have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in each of their last five Sunday games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Athletics’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Athletics and Diamondbacks.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last three day games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Ketel Marte has recorded a Double in each of the Diamondbacks’ last three games against AL West opponents at Chase Field.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his eight previous home appearances against the Athletics.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of his eight previous home appearances against the Athletics.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of his eight previous home appearances against the Athletics.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against the Athletics after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Pfaadt has recorded eight strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Athletics after playing the previous day.
  • Pavin Smith has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ketel Marte ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.525) this season.

Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • Brent Rooker has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances with the Athletics as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one Single in each of the Athletics’ last six road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one total base in each of the Athletics’ last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ryan Noda has scored at least one run in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Tyler Nevin has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances with the Athletics as underdogs against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (4.66).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (599).
  • The Oakland Athletics rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (827).
  • The Oakland Athletics rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (305).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 

Arizona continues to struggle to reach .500 on the season, but they have a chance to get a series win here. The Diamondbacks are 21-21 at home this year, while the Athletics are just 12-32 on the road. Oakland has been one of the worst teams in the MLB over the last two months and their pitching staff has been awful. The A’s are starting Luis Medina, who has a WHIP north of 1.50. Arizona’s pitching hasn’t been any better this season and they are starting Pfaadt, who has not pitched well recently. I think we are going to see plenty of runs in this game and my Arizona Diamondbacks vs Oakland Athletics prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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