Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8-10-24 MLB Picks
Philadelphia Phillies (69-46) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (63-53)
August 10, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -106 / Philadelphia Phillies -111; Over/Under: +8
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In this article, we will formulate a Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 10th, at Chase Field.
Phillies Offense Looks to Bounce Back
The Phillies’ offense on Friday scored only two runs, and they are going to need to be better here. Even though the offense wasn’t great, Zack Wheeler did look good, going six innings giving up two hits. The Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.96 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league while the pitching is ranked 3rd. They do have a positive run differential of 0.94 which is 2nd in the league. Kyle Schwarber has hit 27 home runs and driven in 73 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Aaron Nola, who sits with an 11-5 record and an ERA of 3.54. In his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers, he went six innings, giving up eight hits and four runs.
Diamondbacks Pull it Out
Adrian Del Castillo hit a home run in the bottom of the 9th and that was the difference as they were able to secure the 3-2 victory. Ryne Nelson was strong going 7.1 innings giving up three hits and two runs. The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.16 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.72 runs per game. The offense is ranked 1st in the league, while the pitching is ranked 24th. Ketel Marte has hit 29 home runs and driven in 80 RBIs. Getting the start for the Diamondbacks will be Zac Gallen who sits with a 9-5 record and an ERA of 3.75. In his last start against the Cleveland Guardians, he went seven innings, giving up eight hits and five runs.
Why the Diamondbacks Will Beat the Phillies
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last five night games at Chase Field following a home win.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
This game is going to come down to the pitching and what team is going to have the better pitching. At home, I trust Gallen a little more and even though he struggled in the last game, I expect he’s going to be a lot better here. The Phillies might get a solid start from Nola, but the Diamondbacks are going to find just enough success with their offense to pull out a victory. Back the Diamondbacks to win their second straight game.