Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8-11-24 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action from Chase Field. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Diamondbacks vs Phillies pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies played the Los Angeles Dodgers in their last series. After a loss 5-3 in the opener Philadelphia took wins 6-2 and 9-4 to get a series victory. After a 6-4 win Thursday and a 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks Friday, in game two Philly took a blowout loss 11-1. Starter Aaron Nola finished with 5.0 innings and three earned runs.

Starter for Philadelphia on Sunday will be Christopher Sanchez. This year Sanchez is 8-7 with a 3.27 ERA in 22 starts. Sanchez is 14-14 with a 3.75 ERA in 63 games (44 starts) over his career.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Over on the Diamondbacks’ side, they played the Cleveland Guardians in their last set. Arizona did well in that one, bagging a sweep 7-6, 7-3 and 5-3. In game three versus the Phillies, the Diamondbacks posted a dominant 15-5 hitting advantage. Arizona scored seven runs in the seventh inning alone.

In the starter role for Arizona on Saturday, it’ll be Merrill Kelly. So far Kelly is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in four starts.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games at Chase Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four day games at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jake McCarthy has scored at least one run in nine of his 10 previous home appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one total base in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games against NL opponents.
• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games against NL opponents.
• Ketel Marte has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Pavin Smith has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL West opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four road games against the Diamondbacks.
• Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last six games against the Diamondbacks.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (612).
• The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (586).
• The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.65).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll stay with the Phillies. That said, Sanchez needs to notch a quality start here. He did fine in a victory over the Dodgers on August 6, with one earned in 6.0 innings. In his 11.2 innings prior to that however, Sanchez went 0-2 with nine earned in 11.2 innings. As for Kelly, it’ll be interesting to see what he can do.

On Saturday the Phillies were pretty well overmatched on both sides. Philadelphia only got hits from four different players and there were a couple of rough performances on the mound. All things considered though, I think the Phillies have a good shot at a W Sunday.