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Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9-28-24 MLB Picks

San Diego Padres (91-68) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71)
September 28, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks / San Diego Padres ; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 28th, at Chase Field.

Padres Jumped Out to a Fast Start 

The Padres jumped out to a fast start on Friday, scoring four runs in the top of the first inning, and they never looked back on the way to the victory. Yu Darvish went 5.1 innings, giving up three hits and three runs. The Padres are averaging 4.71 runs, while their defense is giving up 4.12 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th in the league, while the defense is ranked 10th in the league. They have a run differential of 0.59 which is 7th in the league. 

Why the Padres WIll Beat the Diamondbacks

  • The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games at Chase Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The road team has won each of the last three games between the Padres and Diamondbacks.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Chase Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.

Diamondbacks Fell Behind

The Diamondbacks fell behind on Friday in the top of the first inning, and that led to the defeat. Merrill Kelly went 5.2 innings, giving up eight hits and five runs. Corbin Carroll hit a home run and finished with two walks. The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.48 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 4.88 runs per game. The offense is ranked 1st in the league, while the pitching is ranked 27th. They have a positive run differential of 0.60 runs per game. Eduardo Rodriguez sits with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 5.56. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants he went 4.2 innings giving up seven hits and five runs. 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The Padres jumped out to a fast start on Friday, and it will be much of the same here. Rodriguez gave up seven hits and five runs in his last start, and it’s going to be much of the same here. The Diamondbacks bats like Friday aren’t going to be good enough, and it’s going to be the Padres that are going to come out on top here. Back the Padres to win this game on the money line. This is a strong play. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: San Diego Padres

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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