Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/5/26 MLB Picks Today
Toronto Blue Jays (53-61) vs. Houston Astros (59-56)
August 5, 2026 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -180 / Toronto Blue Jays 148; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 5th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 59-56 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-3 and 7-2. In game two, Houston blew a 2-0 lead in the fifth inning, but they scored the last five runs to run away with the win. The Astros recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Trammell, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Wesneski allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while De Los Santos threw two innings in relief. Prior to this series, Houston swept the Rangers in three games and swept the Angels in three games.
This season, Houston has a 4.61 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 536 runs with a .246 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 35 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 22 home runs and 64 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 52.2 innings pitched this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 53-61 this year after they lost game two by a score of 2-7 last night. Toronto scored two runs in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Straw, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Yesavage allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Dallas allowed six earned runs in relief for the loss. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Nationals.
This season, Toronto has a 4.07 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 444 runs with a .242 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jameson Taillon, who is 2-6 with a 5.92 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 76.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have won seven of their last eight games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Astros have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a home win.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Astros at Daikin Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last seven home games against American League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven road games against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros’ last two day games.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in day games.
- Ernie Clement ranks T10th in the league in Hits (122) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (482).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (37).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (444).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (7).
Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction
Houston bounced back from their loss on Monday with a win in game two and they have scored 7+ runs in three of their last five games. The Astros are 30-28 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 25-30 on the road. Toronto has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 5+ in two of their last three. The Blue Jays are starting Taillon, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in back to back starts with the Cubs, while Brown has allowed 2, 0, 4, 3, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the Astros -1.5 here.