Astros vs Orioles Prediction 8/15/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 68-53 this year after they won two out of three against Boston by scores of 7-6, 1-14, and 4-1. In their game three win, Houston jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the first inning and added two more in the sixth to seal the victory. The Astros recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Houston started Brown, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Abreu picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Astros won two out of three against the Yankees and two out of three against the Marlins. Houston has won six of their last nine games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 525 runs with a .258 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 17 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 11-5 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 145.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 55-66 this season after they won two out of three against Seattle by scores of 0-1, 4-3, and 5-3. In their game three win, Baltimore led 5-0 in the fifth inning and they were able to get out of a jam in the ninth to get the victory. The Orioles recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Jackson, Mountcastle, and Henderson, who all had one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Sugano, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings for the win, while Enns picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Phillies. Baltimore has lost three of their last five games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.79 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 514 runs with a .239 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 14 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 14 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 0-6 with a 6.70 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 44.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Astros will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games at Daikin Park.
• The Astros have won four of their last five games at Daikin Park.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Astros following a win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Astros’ last eight games as favorites against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Astros’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three games as home favorites.
• Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Astros as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Framber Valdez has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Orioles.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two road games against the Astros.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded a Double in each of the Orioles’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against AL West opponents.

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Astros vs Orioles Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after picking up nice series wins last time out, but Houston has been the way better team. The Astros are 37-25 at home this year, while the Orioles are 25-36 on the road. Baltimore is starting Young, who has been very inconsistent this year. Houston is going with Valdez, who has been elite for most of the season, but has struggled in his last two outings against the Red Sox and Yankees. I think Framber will bounce back in this spot against an easier lineup, so take Houston -1.5 here.