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Astros vs Rockies Prediction 4/7/26 MLB Picks Today

Houston Astros (6-5) vs. Colorado Rockies (4-6)
April 7, 2026 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 153 / Houston Astros -186; Over/Under: 10.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, April 7th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 4-6 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL West. They have a 2-2 home record and are coming off a 9-7 home win against the Astros. Their previous three games were a 4-1 home win, a 1-2 home loss, and a 1-10 home loss against the Phillies.

The Rockies have a .232 batting average this season, .280 OBP and .361 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. TJ Rumfield is the team’s best hitter with a .364 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 7. Mickey Moniak adds a team-high 2 home runs.

Kyle Freeland (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 0-1 record, 2.89 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 6-5 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL West. They have a 1-3 away record and are coming off a 7-9 road loss against the Rockies. Their previous three games were a 10-12 road loss, an 11-0 road win, and a 4-11 road loss against the Athletics.

The Astros have a .288 batting average this season, .394 OBP and .494 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 5.75 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Jose Altuve is the team’s best hitter with a .378 batting average. Christian Walker leads the team in RBI with 12, and Yordan Alvarez adds a team-high 4 home runs.

Mike Burrows (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 1-1 record, 5.91 ERA and 1.78 WHIP.

Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: April 7, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Freeland      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 2.89
  • Home Record: 0-0
  • Last 5 against Astros: 0-2

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last five games.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as favorites.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Mike Burrows      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 5.91
  • Road Record: 0-0
  • Last 5 against Rockies: 0-0

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Rockies have lost 10 of their last 11 games following a win.
  • The Astros have won six of their last seven road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games following a win.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
  • The Rockies have lost the first inning in four of their last five home games.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Astros’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Rockies’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rockies’ last eight home games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last four games at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kris Bryant has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against the Astros.
  • Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake McCarthy ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded two or more hits in each of his last eight appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
  • Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.900) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.265).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for walks this season (18).
  • The Astros rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (70).
  • The Astros rank 1st in the league for hits this season (98).

Astros vs Rockies Prediction

The Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Rockies and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Colorado.

In this Astros vs Rockies Prediction, the Astros are coming as -185 road favorites. The Astros lost the opening game of the series and are 1-3 in their last 4 games, having 32 earned runs in their three losses. The Rockies have back-to-back wins at home and have Freeland on the mound who has been very good this season, while Burrows has 7 earned runs in his two starts. Colorado has a far better bullpen ERA so far and are slightly better against righties, while the Astros are slightly weaker against lefties. Take the Rockies for another home victory for plus money in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Colorado Rockies ML

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