NY Mets (8-4) vs. Oakland Athletics (5-8)
April 11, 2025 10:05 pm EDT
The Line: Oakland Athletics 114 / NY Mets -135; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 11, at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (8-4, 3-3 Away) were on a six-game winning streak but couldn’t make it seven in a row as they lost to the Miami Marlins, failing to sweep the series. That’s the second time this season the Mets won the series over Miami, while they swept the Blue Jays and lost to the Astros. In the most recent 5-0 loss to the Marlins, New York had just two hits. Tylor Megill took the loss after allowing two runs (none earned) on six hits with seven strikeouts and three walks in 4.0 innings.
This year, the Mets average 3.75 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .210/.293/.349 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.10 ERA (1st) and 1.19 WHIP (11th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .333 batting average, three home runs, and 15 RBI this season.
Griffin Canning will take the mound for the Mets on Friday. The 28-year-old right-hander has a 0-1 record in two starts this year with a 2.79 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 9.2 innings of work.
Athletics Betting Preview
The Athletics (5-8, 1-5 Home) split the series with the Mariners, were swept by the Cubs, beat the Rockies, and lost the series to the Padres. The A’s had only two hits in the recent 2-1 defeat to San Diego, but Osvaldo Bido was solid on the mound in the loss after pitching for 5.0 innings, allowing two runs on nine hits with five strikeouts and no walks.
This season, the Athletics average 4.31 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .242/.310/.407 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Athletics’ staff has a 5.12 ERA (27th) and 1.55 WHIP (29th). Tyler Soderstrom leads the A’s with a .354 batting average, six home runs, and ten RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Athletics is JP Sears, who has a 1-1 record in two starts this year with a 3.46 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 13.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Athletics’ last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 road games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Athletics’ last nine night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Athletics rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.12).
- The Athletics rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (127).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (6).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (32).
Athletics vs Mets Prediction
The Mets won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. I personally don’t rate Canning and Sears highly, but given how the Mets play early in the season, I am going with Under. New York has the best pitching in the MLB, and I don’t think they will allow more than two runs here. The Mets have a .241 BA against the southpaws this year with no home runs and five RBI in 54 at-bats. Nine of their 12 games so far went Under. I’ll go with another one on Friday.
