Athletics vs Padres Prediction 4/7/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 7, at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres (8-2, 1-2 Away) opened the new season with even straight wins, sweeping the Atlanta Braves and Cleveland Guardians in the process. However, the Padres lost two of a three-game series against the Chicago Cubs. The Padres nearly suffered a series sweep but came from behind to win 8-1 in Game 3 with the Cubs. Jackson Merrill led the way with two RBI, while Kyle Hart was catastrophic in his start, allowing five runs on two hits with no strikeouts and four walks in 0.2 innings. Jason Adam was credited with a win.

This season, the Padres average 4.60 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .285/.358/.409 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 2.76 ERA (3rd) and 1.13 WHIP (7th). Jackson Merrill leads the Padres with a .378 batting average, three home runs, and ten RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Michael King, who has a 1-0 record in two starts this year with a 3.52 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 7.2 innings.

Athletics Betting Preview

The Athletics (4-6, 0-3 Home) split the series with the Seattle Mariners on the road, suffered a sweep to the Chicago Cubs at home, and then won two of three games against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Lawrence Butler and Tyler Soderstrom led the A’s in a 12-5 loss to the Rockies with a pair of RBI apiece, while Joey Estes took a loss after allowing six runs on six hits with three strikeouts and two walks over 3.0 innings.

This year, the Athletics average 4.10 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .238/.307/.410 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Athletics’ staff has a 5.66 ERA (28th) and 1.60 WHIP (30th). Tyler Soderstrom leads the Athletics with a .359 batting average, four home runs, and eight RBI this season.

Luis Severino will take the mound for the A’s on Monday. The 31-year-old righty has a 0-1 record in two starts this season with a 3.75 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 12.0 innings.

Why the Padres will beat the Athletics

• The Padres have won each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have lost each of their last six games against the Padres following a loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Athletics.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games.
• The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.

Why the Athletics will beat the Padres

• The home team has won 10 of the Padres’ last 11 games.
• The Padres have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Athletics’ last five games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Padres’ last five games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Athletics’ last seven night games against National League opponents.

Athletics vs Padres Prediction

The Padres won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last six. King was the starter in the most recent San Diego’s win over the A’s, and he allowed a .250 BA and no runs in 20 at-bat against the A’s. Severino, on the other hand, posted a 1.80 ERA in 5.0 innings against the Padres last year and allowed a .231 BA with five homers and nine RBI in 121 at-bats against the Padres in his career. I expect a strong outing from the starters here and a low-scoring tilt. Gow ith Under.