Athletics vs Pirates Prediction 9/20/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 20^th at the PNC Park in the second game of this series, with the Athletics having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 65-89 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL Central. They have a 42-37 home record, and are 61-88 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 home defeat by the A’s, and are 1-11 in their last 12 games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games are playing the Reds and the Braves next.

The Pirates have a .230 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .347 slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 136 hits, and a team-high 72 RBI. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .243 batting average, while Oneil Cruz leads the team in home runs, with 19.

Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 2-1 record, 5.66 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 73-81 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL West. The Athletics have a 40-39 road record and are 75-72 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 road victory over the Pirates, and have four straight wins. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games and are playing the Astros and the Royals next.

The Athletics have a .254 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .435 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Brent Rooker leads the Athletics with 160 hits, while Jacob Wilson is the team’s best hitter with a .317 batting average. Tyler Soderstrom adds a team-high 90 RBI, while Nick Kurtz adds a team-high 33 home runs.

Luis Morales (R) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 4-1 record, 3.08 ERA, and 1.11 WHIP.

Athletics @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: September 20, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 5.66
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Athletics: –

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Athletics have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The underdogs have won 10 of the last 13 games between the Athletics and Pirates.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Athletics have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Morales      Record this season: 4-1      ERA: 3.08
• Road Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Pirates: –

Why the Athletics will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last 11 night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have won each of their last six games against the Pirates.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday night road games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Pirates.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Athletics’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven night games between the Athletics and Pirates.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last five night games at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Jared Triolo has hit a home run in two of the Pirates’ last three home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates’ last five games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Oneil Cruz ranks 4th in the league in Steals (38) this season.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

• Nick Kurtz has hit a home run in four of the Athletics’ last five games against NL opponents.
• JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Jacob Wilson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.317) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (548).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (108).
• The Athletics rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (279).
• The Athletics rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (213).

Athletics vs Pirates Prediction

The A’s have won their last 6 meetings against the Pirates, and both teams are tied 3-3 wins in their last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh. Under is 6-2-3 in their last 11 meetings.

In this Athletics vs Pirates Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Pirates are on a free fall in the final stretch of the season, and I certainly don’t trust Bubba Chandler to be the guy breaking their losing streak. The A’s have 4 consecutive wins, and they are putting Morales on the mound, who has been excellent on the road, with a 1.88 ERA in his three road starts. They also have a better offense to offer him run support, so I like them to get away with the road win in this one.