Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 9-27-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 27th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 86-71 this year and they have won three games in a row. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against the Mets, where they won one game before games two and three were postponed. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Marlins, won two out of three against the Reds, and split four games with the Dodgers. Atlanta is 5-1 in their last six games and they are third in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Braves’ offense has scored 687 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .310 with 39 home runs and 102 RBI’s for the Braves this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 85-74 this season and they have won three games in a row. Kansas City is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won all three games and only allowed four runs. Prior to that series, the Royals lost all three against the Giants, lost all three against the Tigers, and won two out of three against the Pirates. Kansas City is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are tied for second in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 730 runs with a .250 batting average and a .308 on-base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .332 with 32 home runs and 109 RBI’s for the Royals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 10-10 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 165.2 innings pitched this season. Fried has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Brady Singer, who is 9-12 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 173.2 innings pitched this year. Singer has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts (10.1 IP). 

Why the Braves will beat the Royals

• The Braves have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have lost seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven Friday home games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last seven home games against AL Central opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four home games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three night games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Michael Harris has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four night games.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Royals.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 16 home games against AL opponents.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Braves’ last 10 games as favorites.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 18 of his last 19 Friday appearances.
• Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 16 home games against AL opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Braves.
• Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
• MJ Melendez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last nine road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded a Single in each of his last nine appearances against the Braves.
• Maikel Garcia has scored a run in each of the Royals’ last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

The Braves come into this series well-rested, as their last two games were postponed due to weather. Atlanta is currently sitting on the outside of a playoff berth, so they need every win they can get. The Royals are 40-38 on the road this year, while the Braves are 43-33 at home. KC did bounce back with a nice series in Washington, but I don’t trust their bats against this Atlanta pitching staff. Take the Braves to win by at least two runs.