MLB Picks

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7-6-24 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (57-30) vs. Atlanta Braves (47-38)
July 6, 2024 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -106 / Philadelphia Phillies -111; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

This week the Phillies took on the Chicago Cubs. Philadelphia won the first two installments of that set 6-4 and 5-3 before a 10-2 loss Thursday. In the Friday game versus the Braves, the Phillies posted an 8-6 win. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola finished with 6.0 innings and three earned runs.



In the starter slot for Saturday’s game, the Phillies are going with Ranger Suarez. This year in 17 starts Suarez is 10-2 with a 2.27 ERA. Over his 151 career games (83 starts). Suarez is 39-23 with a 3.20 ERA.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they had some troubles with the San Francisco Giants in their last series, posting a lone win 3-1 Wednesday. The other two games were losses 5-3 and 4-2. On Friday the Braves were out-hit 15-8 and had three errors. Max Fried went 6.0 innings with five earned on 11 hits and one walk.

Spencer Schwellenbach will take the mound for the start on Saturday. This year over the first six starts of his career Schwellenbach is 1-4 with a 5.68 ERA and 32 Ks in 31.2 innings.

Braves vs Phillies Pick Injury Notes

Phillies catcher JT Realmuto (knee) is working out at 70 to 75 percent intensity. Bryce Harper (hamstring) is working through drills at the same rate.

Braves SS Orlando Arcia had an abscessed tooth pulled and is still not eating solid food. He may hit the IL.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Braves’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Phillies’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last eight night games against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four night games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against the Phillies.
  • Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last five night games.
  • Jarred Kelenic has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 15 home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • David Dahl has hit a home run in each of his four previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • David Dahl has recorded two or more RBIs in each of his four previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Phillies as favorites.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll stay with the Braves, but I’m probably not touching it. Both starters could use a good outing here. Schwellenbach has eight earned runs over 10.0 innings in his lsat two starts, going 0-2 in that pair. As for Suarez, he’s coming off 4.2 innings with six earned runs in his last start versus the Marlins. Suarez was pitching pretty well before that, though.

On Friday the Braves didn’t have too bad of an evening at the plate but couldn’t overcome a rough outing from Fried (or the three errors). Saturday’s matchup is going to depend heavily on what the starters can do, but Atlanta should have a good shot regardless.

Andrew's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -106

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

Related Articles

Back to top button