
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 10-9-23 MLB Picks
Atlanta Braves (104-59) vs Philadelphia Phillies (93-72)
2023-10-09 18:07:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -164 / Philadelphia Phillies +148 --- Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves clash Monday in game 2 of the NLDS playoffs at Truist Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies look for another road win to take a surprising 2-0 series lead. The Phillies are now 3-0 this postseason and have won those games by a combined score of 14-2. In 27 postseason innings, the Phillies have allowed 17 hits, 2 earned runs and have produced 24 strikeouts and 4 walks. If this sort of production continues, the Phillies have a great chance to return to the World Series in back to back years. Offensively, Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 5 hits and 1 RBI while Bryson Stott and Bryce Harper have combined for 7 hits and 7 RBI. Zack Wheeler gets the ball, and he was 13-6 with a 3.61 ERA and 212 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 2-3 with a 2.55 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts
The Phillies have lost each of their last eight night games against the Braves following a road win.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Braves following a road win.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five playoff games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games.
The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last five playoff games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves need a win to even up the series at 1-1. The Braves got little going in their game 1 loss, as they strung together just 5 hits and struck out 8 times. It was the first time all year the Braves were shutout at home. The Braves have now lost 3 of their last 4 games overall. Offensively, Austin Riley leads the Braves with 1 hit while Eddie Rosario and Orlando Arcia have combined for 2 hits. Max Fried gets the ball, and he was 8-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. Fried is 2-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 61 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Atlanta Braves Team Facts
The Braves have lost four of their last five playoff games as favorites against NL East opponents.
The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night playoff games following a loss.
The Braves have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last five playoff games as favorites against NL East opponents.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five playoff games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (947).
The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1543).
The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
Randy’s Pick
The Braves should be favored for obvious reasons, as they’re the best team in baseball with the best offense, and they’re at home. However, the Phillies are on fire at the moment, and it makes them worth strong consideration in the underdog role. Also, Zack Wheeler was great in his wild card spot against the Marlins, and he’s held the Braves to a .217 batting average with 80 strikeouts in 286 at bats. As good as Max Fried has been in 77.2 innings, he hasn’t pitched since September 21. That’s two weeks off, which can throw off the rhythm of a pitcher who is used to pitching at least once a week. Give me the Phillies and the more favorable price.